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Opinion, May 25, 2003, Al-Jazeerah.info |
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Saddam’s Weapons of Mass
Destruction: US Credibility at Stake WASHINGTON, 25 May 2003 — It now appears that the so-called “clear
and present danger’’ of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, or WMD, did
not exist and that French and German critics were correctly skeptical of
the US argument for the use of force. The US task force directing the search for Iraq’s WMD likely will
return home next month without discovering chemical, biological or nuclear
materials. This failure could do great harm to the credibility of the Bush
administration and the integrity of the US intelligence community. Many reasons have been offered for the failure of US weapons experts
and scientists to find a trace of nonconventional weapons in Iraq. Israeli
intelligence sources claimed these weapons had been moved to Syria before
the war began, but US intelligence agencies never believed it. US sources claimed that the Iraqis destroyed vast stocks of WMD before
the war, but sophisticated collection technology would have discovered
traces of such activity and US inspectors would have located the detritus
of a massive destruction effort. It’s possible that the Iraqis could
have hidden or deeply buried sensitive materials, but even the leaders of
WMD hunters from Task Force 75 and a special operations group from the
Defense Threat Reduction Agency don’t believe such a theory. As a result, these teams are now searching for evidence of Saddam
Hussein’s crimes against humanity, Iraqi covert actions abroad and even
the theft of Jewish antiquities from Iraqi museums — a far cry from the
artifacts of WMD. If the claims of President Bush, Secretary of State Colin L. Powell and
CIA Director George J. Tenet to justify the war were vastly exaggerated or
simply false, there will be significant consequences. For one, the distortion of evidence of Iraqi WMD will make it harder to
gain international cooperation in the war against terrorism and the
campaign to prevent the spread of WMD. These efforts require international assistance. Information from
foreign intelligence services has been required in the arrest or capture
of all suspected Al-Qaeda terrorists thus far. Any success in stopping the
strategic weapons programs of Iran and North Korea, both more advanced
than those of prewar Iraq, will require international help. Any misuse of intelligence by the White House or politicization of
intelligence by the CIA weakens the key instrument in preventing further
acts of terrorism and thus undermines US national security interests. The misuse of intelligence during the Vietnam War prolonged a brutal
and costly conflict. The manipulation of intelligence during the
Iran-Contra affair in the 1980s led to political embarrassment for the
Reagan administration. The use of intelligence for the political ends of
any administration is simply unacceptable. Finally, the worst possible scenario for the security interests of the
United States and the international community would be ending the
inspections too early and then learning about the possible looting or
smuggling of any strategic materials from Iraqi weapons sites. As White House spokesman Ari Fleischer noted two months ago: “(WMD)
is what this war was about and is about. And we have high confidence it
will be found.’’ We must now make sure that the hundreds of weapons
sites were not looted of detritus, which can only be done with an
intensified international inspection effort. The United States must take immediate steps to regain credibility at
home and abroad. Since chief UN weapons inspector Hans Blix does not
officially retire from his position until next month, it is not too late
to invite experienced UN weapons inspectors to scour Iraq and thus gain
international acceptance of any findings. In addition to improving US credibility, international inspectors would
make it easier to interview Iraqi experts and find needed documents and
evidence. The Senate Intelligence Committee or the inspector general of the CIA
must scrutinize the findings of the intelligence community on Iraqi WMD,
especially those estimates prepared after the terrorist attacks of Sept.
11, to determine whether intelligence was politicized to support the
political agenda of the Bush administration. The administration has dragged its heels over an independent inspection
of 9/11 and prevented the release of the 9/11 joint congressional inquiry,
but it must not block the efforts of the Senate panel or the CIA to
determine whether the intelligence community actually accommodated
political interests. There is too much at stake to delay these two
essential steps. — Melvin A. Goodman is senior fellow at the Center for International
Policy in Washington and former senior analyst at the CIA.
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Opinions expressed in various sections are the sole responsibility of their authors and they may not represent Al-Jazeerah's. editor@aljazeerah.info |