| After the collapse of the Iraqi regime, the role of
the United Nations and its specialised agencies in Iraq was raised
by the coalition, the antiwar countries and the UN itself. The
United States government declared that the UN will be given a
“vital role” in the new Iraq. However, this was understood to be
confined to the provision of humanitarian assistance to the Iraqi
people. The UK was ready to assign a role to the UN wider than that,
but the US position prevailed.
The antiwar countries, namely, France, Germany and Russia, asked
for a “central role” for the UN, which would go beyond
humanitarian assistance to include a role in the reconstruction and
political transition of Iraq.
The Arab and other countries neighbouring Iraq took a decision at
their Riyadh meeting that the UN should be given an “expanded
role”. This position is closer to that of the antiwar countries.
When discussing the role of the UN in the new Iraq, the following
principal factors are, or should be, taken into consideration:
The UNMOVIC and IAEA, that were entrusted by the UN Security
Council to inspect and destroy weapons of mass destruction in Iraq,
were not allowed, by the war, to finish their task. They needed few
months to conclude their work and upon their recommendation, the
economic sanctions on Iraq will be lifted. The issue of WMD, that
was used by the coalition as the main justification for the war, has
been recently raised in Washington and London. Was it only a pretext
or a real threat? But where are those WMD?
Though this might appear now as a historical issue, it will
remain an important matter that will reflect on the credibility of
the coalition countries. While UN Security Council Resolution 1483
referred to WMD in an ambiguous manner, the UN role in settling this
issue will remain standing and will have to be “revisited”.
In accordance with the UN Charter, the UN Security Council is the
international organ in charge of maintaining peace and security.
While Resolution 1441 of Nov. 8, 2002, warned Iraq of “serious
consequences” if it violates UN Security Council resolutions,
another resolution was required to allow war on Iraq. The US and UK
tried very hard to get such a resolution but without success.
Therefore, as Professor Joseph Nye, Dean of the JFK School of
Government at Harvard University pointed out, the war on Iraq needed
international legitimacy which only the UN Security Council can
provide. However, what was lacking prior to the war was offered in
its aftermath. UN Security Council Resolution 1483, adopted on May
22, offered this legitimacy and, more than that, recognised the US
and UK as “the occupying powers” with full authorities (and
responsibilities) to rule Iraq, its people and its resources.
The UN played a major role, since 1996, in implementing the
“oil-for-food” programme which was financed by Iraqi oil
revenues. Such revenues were deposited in an escrow account that was
used to finance Iraqi imports of civilian goods, compensations and
UN-related staff and expenses. The UN used, through a special
committee, to approve contracts, effect payments, pay compensations
and take part in the distribution of monthly rations to 15 million
or 60 per cent of the Iraqi population through thousands of outlets.
The “oil-for-food” programme was to expire on June 3.
However, it was extended, it seems for the last time, and as
stipulated in the UN Security Council Resolution 1483, for six
months, or till Nov. 22, 2003. That is another role or function
which the coalition conceded to the UN.
Another important UN role is humanitarian assistance to the Iraqi
people. Given that millions are unemployed, poor and lack medical
care, the UN agencies can contribute to mitigating their suffering.
This role is already granted to the UN by the coalition and the
international community, and the door was and is still open for the
operations of World Food Programme, UNICEF, World Health
Organisation, UNESCO, UNHCR, UNDP and others. This role is not
disputed and should be intensified and financed from their budgetary
and outside sources.
Aside from the above roles of the UN which have been recognised
and accepted, there are other roles that are more fundamental but
have been monopolised by the occupying powers. These roles are
crucial to the economic and political reconstruction of Iraq. They
also reflect on the time frame of occupation (whether it will last
for one, two or more years) and the credibility of its policies and
actions in administering Iraqi resources. These roles are:
— Maintaining safety and security in Iraq, which the coalition
has not so far been able to achieve. This can be done under the UN
flag with less human casualties and better acceptance and
cooperation by the Iraqi people. The UN had similar experience in
other regions where UN peacekeeping forces were mobilised from among
member countries. However, the UN Security Council Resolution 1483
does not give this role to the UN and has left it completely to the
occupying powers.
— Reconstruction of the infrastructure and basic facilities
(water, electricity, schools, health and other) which have been
destroyed by the war or depreciated over the thirteen years of
sanctions. The estimates for reconstruction range from $25 to $100
billion, depending on the time frame for such activities. Resolution
1483 gives full authority to the occupying powers to administer
reconstruction activities through their control of oil revenues and
their disbursements. The role of the UN, the IMF and World Bank will
be only advisory, through the International Advisory and Monitoring
Board of the newly established Development Fund at the Central Bank
of Iraq.
The UN secretary general special representative to Iraq, Sergio
de Mello, has only an advisory and coordinating role. The contracts
that have already been awarded provide a strong indication of the
future trends. The American companies Bechtel and Halliburton, and
their subsidiaries, have been the main contractors to the Iraqi
projects.
If a bigger role, not only advisory, were given to the Iraqi
interim authority (which has been delayed) or the UN, contractors of
various nationalities would compete in bidding for Iraqi projects,
which will be to the advantage of both Iraq and many other
countries.
The UN also has been sidelined in the political reconstruction of
the new Iraq. This is a serious task and the UN had gained
experience in East Timor and Kosovo. The Iraqi army and security
forces have been dismantled by Paul Bremer, the coalition chief
administrator of Iraq. All Baath Party cadres have been dismissed
from government positions. This has created millions of unemployed
Iraqis. The National Assembly that was going to be elected as a
political body from which the Iraqi interim authority would have
been established has been replaced by a council whose members will
be appointed by the occupying powers.
The question that is raised here is the following: Can the
transition from the authoritarian regime that ruled Iraq for four
decades be replaced over one or two years by a democratic and
market-oriented system? Empirical examples and cases show in
retrospect that this desired change requires much longer time, which
may extend to ten years. According to Business Week (June 2, 2003),
“successful nation building takes a minimum of five years.” This
will reflect on the duration of occupation and its cost and
stability.
As the Time magazine (May 22, 2003) stated, “the (UNSC)
resolution creates a legal framework for the US and Britain to run
Iraq and sell its oil to help finance reconstruction. The antiwar
nations had hoped to put the UN in charge of that reconstruction
effort, and the political process of creating an Iraqi government,
but UN officials will be appointed in various advisory
capacities.”
While the coalition may have a clear vision of what the new Iraq
should become, it does not, so far, provide a blueprint for the
transition. Its actions appear to be based on trial and error, which
will, over time, open up for a de facto expanded role for the UN
beyond its current tasks and advisory function, into an active role
in the economic and political reconstruction of Iraq. Otherwise, the
human and other costs of occupation would escalate and possibly
force a disorganised withdrawal.
The writer is deputy chairman, Jordan Securities Commission,
former minister, UN under-secretary general and executive secretary
of ESCWA. He contributed this article to The Jordan Times.
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