Feb 18, 2003             Opinion Editorials                   http://www.aljazeerah.info                                    

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UN Should Prevent Slaughter of the Innocent
By Huda Ismail Nawwab,
Arab News, 2/18/03

A letter sent to the French, Russian and Chinese missions at the United Nations.

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Dear Sirs,

I’m a young Saudi Arab woman who supports peace among humankind.

I appeal to you, the French, Russian and Chinese missions to the United Nations, to veto — in your capacity as permanent members of the Security Council — the forthcoming proposal to pass a Security Council resolution sponsored by the United States and Britain to launch a war on Iraq for alleged non-compliance with UN resolu-tions on disarmament. Peace-loving people everywhere in the world oppose such a war. This very day (Feb. 15) there are anti-war demonstrations representing a rainbow of faith, color, languages and races in over 600 cities all over the world, including the larg-est demonstration ever in London.

The firm stand of France, Russia and China at the Security Council has won the admiration of the world, especially the powerful, reasoned and spirited views of French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin expressed at the Security Council meeting on Feb. 14.

I must also add that the anti-war position of your three countries (and that of Germany as well) against the aggressive stance of the US and Britain will resonate very well not only with peace seekers everywhere, but also with the more than 1.25 billion Muslims, some of whom are citizens of your countries.

The vast majority of Americans are peace-loving and do not support military adventures, but the Bush administration is leading a desperate, unwise effort to launch an unwarranted war of aggression against Iraq allegedly in the name of peace and democracy.

However, don’t you think that by doing so, the US and Britain will claim the lives of many thousands of innocent civilians whose only crime is that they happen to have been born in unfortunate times and in an unfor-tunate country? What crime have these suf-fering people committed, many of them old men and women and children?

The US administration’s stance on Iraq is the height of hypocrisy. If the US adminis-tration wants to ensure non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, it should first of all set an example to the world: It should disarm the US. Instead, it has opted to produce even more lethal weapons of mass destruction.

The US administration sensibly says that it will try to resolve peacefully the very seri-ous problem posed by North Korea, which has announced its intention to produce more nuclear weapons and has booted out the International Atomic Energy Agency’s inspectors. It’s a case far worse than that of Iraq, which is cooperating with the UN inspectors. So, why not negotiate a peaceful resolution with Iraq?

The US and Britain both keep repeating ad nauseam that Iraq has flouted UN resolu-tions and therefore force has to be used to enforce those resolutions. Are the US and other permanent members of the Security Council — who are all ultimately complicit in the dispossession and oppression of the Palestinians — blind to the fact that Israel, thanks to the shameless backing and vetoes of the US at the Security Council, is in breach of some 60 resolutions of the world body? Can any one of you identify a single resolu-tion about which the UN Security Council took an enforceable action in order to bring Israeli policy into accord with the will of the international community?

Why these double standards, which are a blot on the United Nations and a blow to its credibility? The US and Israel are two bulls in the United Nations’ china shop, which, unless reined in, will eventually wreck it altogether.

For the Bush administration, time for Iraq "has run out." But, apparently, for the Bush administration and for the Security Council time can never run out for the rogue state of Israel, whose violations of UN resolu-tions and the Fourth Geneva Convention and perpetration of state terrorism have gone on for more than 50 years and whose never-inspected biological, chemical and nuclear weapons destabilize regional peace.

Successive British governments, and Prime Minister Tony Blair — that lackey of the US and great hypocrite whose support of the US’ belligerence against Iraq is opposed by the majority of the people who elected him — consider the Irish Republican Army to be a terrorist organization, which has always received funds from the Irish in the US. The IRA has for several decades terrorized London and other British cities and assas-sinated the respectable Lord Mountbatten, a cousin of Queen Elizabeth, and attempted to kill Margaret Thatcher, then Britain’s prime minister. But did Britain bomb the IRA in Ireland and also the US, the main supplier of funds to the IRA? No, sensibly Britain worked hard to resolve its differences with the IRA peacefully.

Aren’t all human beings equal in respect to life and death? Or is Arab and Muslim blood cheaper than the blood of people who come from Western ethnic backgrounds? It is such racial attitudes which inflame those already oppressed in Muslim lands and unfortunately and inexorably nurture the hotbeds of hatred and violence.

Today, the credibility and prestige of the United Nations is on the line. It’s you who can save the world body, the hope of peace for all humanity, from the arrogance and warmongering of the US, which is exerting all the pressure it can to impose its will and agenda for world hegemony on all members of the Security Council. Please act to show that might is not right and that there are states with backbone who are willing to stand up for the principles of justice and peace in international relations.

France, Russia and China are the only three permanent members of the Security Council who could really make a difference by casting their veto against a US-led war on Iraq.

So, please act now and in the coming days in the interest of world peace and your own citizens.

With the utmost regard for France, Russia and China and other Security Council members who are working hard to ensure that the credibility of the United Nations is maintained and justice and the rule of law prevail,

Sincerely,

Huda Ismail Nawwab

 

 

 


 

 

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The Clique Pushing US to Confrontation
Abdullah Hassan
, Arab News, 2/18/03
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A popular Arab saying goes like this: "Your true friend is the one who tells you the truth, not the one who believes you."

Many friends of the US are reluctant to tell the US the truth since it will only accept the half truths imposed upon it by a Cold War clique manipulating the post Sept. 11 American psyche though their views and agenda were developed well before Sept. 11.

Of course this generalization does not include US administration figures who are not part of this clique, but they can only play a limited moderating influence on American policy since the clouded legitimacy of the present US administration was given a life of its own by the reaction of the administration and the public to the events of Sept. 11, and no one was willing to take action that might affect this new legitimacy.

There is nothing like a sense of despair and national catastrophe to rally the people around the flag, and the administration exploited this fact to the hilt regardless of the possible long-term negative consequenc-es to the American people and the world. This manifested itself in the institution of policies that diminish the very prerogatives enjoyed constitutionally by the American people yet promoted internationally by the US administration. In other words, the US is promoting ideals abroad that it is negat-ing at home. This shows how fragile these American ideals are.

This will was brutally exploited by a deliberate policy advocating policies of fear and hatred supported by truths, half-truths, outright fabrications of fact and fiction that left many Americans bewildered and look-ing under their bed every night. Without these politics of fear, the administration and specifically the Justice Department could not have rolled over Congress and the courts to go along with its constitutional transgressions.

Very few people in the world did not feel anger at what the US suffered, and very few did not applaud the American response to the terrorists that committed their senseless act. Yet many in the world watched sadly, as the war on terrorism got sidetracked from its original purpose, to include the dictates of the Cold War warriors and the neocon-servatives allied with Zionist Christians, who control the policy-making functions of the US administration. This clique and their supporters like Thomas Friedman, George Will, William Safire, and others, convinced America that it is not important to know why the US was unpopular, subjected to an attack of unheard of proportions, and that what was important was to respond to the ter-rorist attack. However flawed this argument is, it does make sense coming from a group that does not want to advertise the fact that their push through the years of American support for Israel’s brutal suppression of the Palestine people in particular, and Arabs in general, is a main cause of the events of 9/11. Exposing and publicizing this fact might have led to a popular demand that the US re-examine its Middle East policy, which can only reflect negatively on this clique, and its ideological approach to politics.

In spite of all American protestations, this clique pushed the US into a confronta-tion with the Arab and Islamic nations not because it is a confrontation between two cultures or civilizations, however different that may naturally be, but because there is a real divide between a minority in the two camps, and in the US it is strongly represented by the clique governing the policy making functions in the administra-tion. Their strength and influence is not a secret and is known to every respectable political journalist or observer, and refer-ences to the clique and the subjecting of America’s policies and interests to Israel’s is an open secret, however much they deny it in spite of the glaring facts. The interest of this clique is to maneuver the president and the US, into so-called gradual positions that would make it impossible for the US or for the president to backtrack from the clique’s ultimate goal. A clear example of this is the Iraqi question.

President Bush and his lieutenants declare again and again that military action against Iraq is not inevitable. If so, will the president be able politically to bring back all the American military assets sent to the Middle East, at a cost of billions of dollars to the American taxpayer, without a war to justify the billions spent on a war that never was. The answer is a resounding NO since it will lead not only to a one-term Bush presidency, but also to the routing of the Republican Party, and the ideological clique leading the country from one confrontation to another. Of course the latest confronta-tion is with America’s allies in Europe, where the absolute majority in the European nations if not their governments, are against the war for many reasons, among them the fact that they simply do not see the need for an unjust and destabilizing war because the US and its governing clique say so, and nothing presented by the US as evidence can be considered reliable or acceptable. On the other hand, it would be foolish to con-sider a European anti-war stance as being pro-Iraqi as it is really a position against American hegemony and arrogance that has exceeded all acceptable parameters.

America does not need enemies around every corner to survive; nor does it need wars to prove its supremacy.

Courtesy: Al-Hayat

 

 

 


 

 

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Summit With a Difference
Arab News, 18 February 2003
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Next week, there is to be an emergency Arab summit in Egypt on the Iraqi crisis. It has not been easy to organize. At their meeting in Cairo on Saturday and Sunday, Arab Foreign ministers had some difficulty agreeing a date, but not as much difficulty as in hammering out a unified stand on the crisis.

There was a statement of sorts in favor of more time for Iraq’s peaceful disarmament and opposing any attack or the provision of assistance and facilities that could be used to threaten its safety and territorial integrity. But the statement was purely symbolic and has no binding force whatsoever on the 22 members of the Arab League. Moreover, Kuwait quit the discussions before the resolution could be put. The truth is that, like the EU, the Arab world is divided on the issue. Some states want to put the pressure on Washington to resolve the crisis; others want to put it on Baghdad. Thus a resolution that contradicts reality — for in hosting the growing US invasion force, three GCC states are doing precisely what the statement calls them not to do.

It is not the only contradiction. The GCC as a whole has already said that it will protect Kuwait if it is attacked by Iraq; Oman has already sent forces to Kuwait. The logic of that is if there is a war and Iraq attacks Kuwait as it has threatened if it itself is attacked, then the GCC will be dragged in on the same side as the US whether it wants to be or not. That is every reason for preventing war in the first place, a war that could be the most momentous since the creation of Israel. This conflict could result in the very map of the region being redrawn. Never therefore has there been greater need for Arab unity. Never has there been greater need for unity of purpose and unity of action.

We all know that a date will be found for a summit and that it will take place. But what is the point of a summit if all it produces is nothing but the usual hot air? There have been too many of those summits in the past. Only last month there was the Istanbul summit of Iraqi front-line states; all it managed to do was echo the demand already heard everywhere else — that Iraq cooperate with the arms inspectors. Perhaps those involved did not consider it a waste of time, but many others did.

Next week’s Arab Summit needs to be one that will make a difference. If that cannot be done then it would be better if the meeting were shelved. What must not happen is yet another symbolic statement. It would be more than useless, it would be dangerous. It would demonstrate Arab disunity for all the world to see. Others, not just enemies like the Israelis, would exploit that to the full.

The summit must be a strong summit. The Arabs must demonstrate unity of purpose. Iraq is an Arab issue. They cannot afford to say that, like the Europeans, they are divided on the issue. The world ridiculed the Europeans when they failed to face up to the crises in Bosnia and Kosovo. The Arabs will face the same ridicule if they act with similar indecisiveness now.

They can make a difference. They can, for example, say that Saddam Hussein must go, as well as demanding that arms inspectors be given more time. It would certainly pile the pressure on Iraq for change. It is true that this would be interference in Iraq’s internal affairs, but that argument is meaningless now. The demand that Iraq disarm is also interference in its affairs but everyone, Arab governments included, is doing it.

 

 


 

 

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The Siege of Nablus

 Anne Gwynne writes from Nablus, Occupied Palestine

Al-Jazeerah, 2/18/03

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“The quality of mercy is not strained.  It droppeth as the gentle rain from heaven upon the place beneath.”  Shakespeare, The Merchant of Venice

I am numb with anger at what has happened this past week.  First, Hassan Algoul, an eight-year-old boy was murdered by the Israelis in Qalqilya on Tuesday and, in retaliation for this outrage,  fighters attacked the most dreaded checkpoint in Nablus where many murders have taken place.  They succeeded in killing two Israelis at least, and wounding several more, but at the cost of their own lives.  One I knew.  Then, the next night a gang of eight soldiers burst into the Khilfeh house (of the Tel Aviv Martyr, Baraq); they trashed everything and took away Mohamed Khilfeh, Baraq’s brother, in punishment.  They did not use violence at that time because my friend Margarethe from Sweden was with him, but they hurt her and I don't know what they did to Mohamed after…  

The next night Israeli soldiers burst into a family home in the city and brutally murdered the father of a young family, who had to watch the killing.  I spoke with the pathologist who carried out the autopsy, and he described how the young man had more than 60 wounds to his body – everywhere – head, torso, extremities, back and front.  Bullets had entered his body from the back and exited through the front.  There were many knife wounds - I saw the x-rays and photographs.  Before he was killed, they cut off the forefinger of his right hand with which, in the Islamic faith, he must make a sign to accompany his last declaration before he dies.  However, in Islam, the signs are unimportant – it is what is in the heart that counts, so here again, they just didn’t get it.  There were many knife slashes on the body, and many shrapnel wounds.  The frenzied attack was completed by the firing of many nasty little objects about 5 cm long, with a shaft, a tail fin,  and a ball of sharp steel needles on the entry end which lodges in the body, causing massive bleeding and being impossible to remove without fatal damage.  After he was dead they had cut his feet from toes to calf, and had slashed his back open along its length, both with a very sharp knife.

I will see this pathologist again next week, when he will arrange for me to have the photographs, and those of many other murder victims.  With the permission of the families, we will put them on the internet.  Photographs such as those of Rami abu Bakri - you remember the 16 year old who was killed in the Balata Camp about a month ago for throwing a stone? “He had no head” shuddered the doctor.  And when our ambulance scraped his remains up he had no rib-cage either, and his heart was lying, clearly visible, in the empty chest cavity.

Like Omar Alloush, the 16-year old from Askar Camp who is still with a chest drain, and pain which makes him want to die, from the huge hole in his chest and lung caused by the shell he received through his right shoulder - for throwing a stone.

Like the two victims of the Zawatta Murders a couple of weeks ago, who were blown to pieces by shells and then shot with multiple bullets after death just to make a point.  Perhaps the sight of their organs hanging out of their shattered bodies will wake up people to what is happening here.  How many pictures will it take to make a change?

Or the last three murders in the camps where, amongst others, a boy was killed by a tank for having a stone in his hand.  The Raffidia hospital has thousands of these photographs and, in time we will post many of them. 

I wish I had photographs of the shattered families whose uncles, cousins, brothers and husbands have been kidnapped this week for no reason other than that they are alive.  On Tuesday night Hussein Khalili’s young brother, Sami, ate dinner at our flat and left at about 1.00 am.  Two hours later he was in prison - for absolutely no reason other than he is the son of Abu Hussein who was the Fatah leader here in the First Intifada.  They also kidnapped two of Hussein’s uncles.  Last night we waited all night for them to come for Hussein - he is, after all, one of those people the lunatic Israelis hate most - a peace activist.  They did not come then, but at 5.00pm today they took him.  They also took a cousin, not the one they were looking for - they could not find him - but, what the hell, any cousin will do.

Operations on a large scale have been carried out in Tulkarem and in Balata last night, and no doubt there will be many more.  It is extremely dangerous here now – Susan, a US activist, was shot at within a centimetre of her forehead, the bullets passing only a centimetre above her head as a warning.  Every day internationals are shot at at checkpoints.  Every day crazed Jewish-Israeli soldiers snarl out the threat “I want to kill you NOW” to internationals.  It is worse every day as the grip of the siege tightens.  This is how the Nazi Siege of Stalingrad started.  Why is this allowed to go on?  I will write more about the sinister effect of the total closure of Nablus tomorrow.

Despite suffering unimaginably, the people of Nablus carry on their daily lives in as normal a way as possible.  We have had a week-long New Year Eid Celebration with much visiting, feasting, laughter and love.  Unfortunately, the Israelis continued their killing and kidnapping spree through the holiday.  Among the victims were Mohammad Shahlan, father of three, killed by a shot to the chest in the Ala’ayn Refugee Camp (they were looking for someone else, but killed Mohammad anyway); Arif B’Shart, 13 years old, killed in Tamoun Village; and 40 year-old Isma abu Heja, who has cancer in the brain and was arrested in Jenin simply because her husband is a bearded Muslim.  They have sentenced Isma to six months preventative detention - she has a malignant tumour and may not survive this.   

There are now 13, 000 people illegally detained in Israel.

I have not met one man without a bullet, knife or shattered bone wound  in the city of Nablus.  Sami Khalili is the only boy I met who had not been in the prison - well now that is remedied. 

I so much wish that more people would come here and experience a life that only Nablus can offer - such a rich, close and loving community which gives every visitor riches beyond compare.   
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Anne Gwynne is working with the Union of Palestinian Medical Relief Committees in Nablus

 

 


 

 

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Time for Iraq to act

By Firas Al-Atraqchi, YellowTimes.org

Al-Jazeerah, 2/18/03

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Friday's U.N. Security Council briefing by UNMOVIC head Blix and IAEA head Al-Baradei allowed the world a short reprieve from talk of war. The condemning report and evidence the U.S. and U.K. delegations had been hoping for from the inspectors never materialized and a new U.N. resolution draft authorizing war was called off for the interim.

Headlines in the U.S. and Canada screamed that the Bush administration had suffered a setback in its bid to persuade world powers to endorse military action against Iraq. Both Blix and Baradei admitted that Iraq had not fully cooperated yet, but that they had seen evidence that Iraq was undertaking an active role and willingness to disarm and cooperate with the inspectors.

Both experts called for more time to ensure a thorough inspections process.

The inspectors' report fueled French, German, Chinese, Russian and Syrian efforts to halt the rush for war. In an increasingly heated debate within U.N. Security Council chambers, the U.S. position appeared to be taking a beating.

Meanwhile, Iraqi President Saddam Hussein issued a decree banning and outlawing any import or domestic development of weapons of mass destruction. "All ministries should implement this decree and take whatever measures are necessary to punish people who do not adhere to it," the decree read.

Iraq also agreed on Friday to host a South African nuclear disarmament delegation expected to instruct Iraqi specialists on how to disarm effectively and seamlessly.

South African President Thabo Mbeki said the experts' efforts to dismantle apartheid-era nuclear weapons had resulted in South Africa becoming an international example in disarmament. Mbeki hoped Iraq would make good use of South Africa's experience.

On Saturday, ten million people worldwide took to the streets to protest the rush to war and to plead with world leaders to allow the inspectors more time to do their mandated tasks.

"I welcome you to London where we have the largest demonstration in 2000 years of British history," London Mayor Ken Livingstone told nearly one million demonstrators.

In Hollywood, actor Martin Sheen told a CNN crew, "I'm just moved and so proud to be an American." He was joined by director-producer Rob Reiner and actress Angelica Houston among other cinema luminaries, all protesting against the rush to war.

The outpouring of dissent against war forced U.S. President George Bush to issue a statement that he believed war was a last option and that the president stood for peace and democracy. The onus was on Saddam, the statement concluded.

Has a war been averted?

Hardly. It is the position of this author, who has long studied Iraqi foreign policy, that the time is ripe for Iraq to come forward and be proactive in the current inspections tour. All too often, Iraq has shied away from the responsibility it could have met, and taken measures which have proven counterproductive.

With public opinion so strongly and passionately against a rush to war (a Saturday New York Times poll reveals that 59 percent of the American people want more time to be given to the inspectors), it is Iraq that must take the next step.

Iraq must continue to encourage and actively push Iraqi scientists to submit to U.N. interviews. Iraq must increase its efforts to locate any and all documents that can help the U.N. inspectors. Iraq must work with the South African delegation and implement whatever advice it receives. Iraq must be willing to destroy arms that are considered illicit.

It is understandable that Iraq may be reluctant to fully disarm. However, that is not to say that such retained arms will be used against the United States. Mainstream North American media is guilty of never informing the public that Iraq is located in a belligerent neighborhood. To the east, Iraq must contend with its one-time arch foe Iran. To the northwest, Iraq is faced with a Turkish military that will not tolerate an autonomous Kurdish enclave and has since 1918 been eyeing the oil-rich regions of Mosul and the Nineveh province. Further west, Iraq's nemesis Israel is armed with nuclear, biological and chemical weapons.

Nevertheless, in a bit to avert war and deny the U.S. and the U.K. any substantial reason to wage war in the Middle East, Iraq must act.

Although inspections during the 1990s did prove fruitful, they were tainted by Iraqi efforts to hide armaments and dissuade inspections. The current political environment means that Iraq can no longer do so.

[Firas Al-Atraqchi, B.Sc (Physics), M.A. (Journalism and Communications), is a Canadian journalist with eleven years of experience covering Middle East issues, oil and gas markets, and the telecom industry.]

Firas Al-Atraqchi encourages your comments: fatraqchi@YellowTimes.org

 

 

 


 

 

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Miscalculation, hubris land Bush in fine political mess
By Nihal Singh

Middle East, KT, February 18 2003

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THE United States of America is paying the price for its imperial ambitions and as the war juggernaut proceeds apace, the post-Cold War structure of Europe and the world is being punctured as never before. Protesters against launching a war on Iraq made their voices heard around the world, including in America, on Saturday on a scale reminiscent of the anti-Vietnam war protests. But American war planning remains uninterrupted because the United States cannot withdraw close to 200,000 troops from the region without winning a war against a prone enemy.

 There is a method in this madness because the American establishment ژlite priming President George Bush views President Saddam Hussein as the most inviting target to prove its projection of America as the seat of the Second Roman Empire. What better way of projecting unsurpassed power than in toppling a person suitably demonised by US propaganda in order to control a country with the world's second largest reserves of oil and begin reordering the region and raise Israel to an even higher pedestal in the American strategic scheme? Palestinians will have nowhere to hide.

 But the Bush administration is discovering that imperial ambitions do not come cheaply and since Bush has chosen to disregard one of his wiser predecessors' warning of speaking softly and carrying a big stick, the costs mount even higher. Take the historic meeting of the UN Security Council, with the fencing match between the US and the other veto-bearing powers. Bush went to the UN reluctantly to seek legitimacy for his unilateralist aims.

 Then the logic of the UN took over, embracing the US for two long months before delivering resolution 1441. UN inspectors went to Iraq and reported back twice, but US Secretary of State Colin Powell's pyrotechnical display of 'evidence' against Iraq failed to impress, and he was decisively worsted by France in last week's debate. Despite US arm-twisting, Hans Blix, the chief weapons inspector, refused to sign on the dotted line. In a refrain that is beginning to pall through repetition, Bush and his officials say time is running out. The all-important question is: For whom?

 The answer is simple. US troops and equipment cannot remain poised to attack Iraq indefinitely, with dollar costs mounting by the day and the hot weather in the desert making fighting beyond March all but impossible. On the other hand, Bush's opponents, in the UN Security Council and outside it, have all the time in the world as public protests around the world grow and the Bush administration is unable to answer the central question: Is the US and the world in imminent danger of an attack by Iraq?

 The Bush administration desperately needs a second resolution in the UN Security Council specifically authorising the use of force against Iraq as political cover for its operations. Threatening the United Nations with irrelevance if it does not do America's bidding has not worked thus far. The magic number 1441 is a resolution of many hues and has America in its coils. It is very well for Bush to declare that he will go it alone with a 'coalition of the willing' if necessary, quite another to advertise his unilateralist approach by disregarding the United Nations.

 How did the Bush administration get it so wrong in the diplomatic field? Partly, it is hubris; partly, miscalculation. It was logical for the dominant elements in the Bush administration to spell out their theme of supremacy by declaring the goal of maintaining military superiority over any country or group of nations far into the indefinite future. In order to do so, the US arrogated to itself the right of 'pre-emptive' and preventive attacks on any sovereign nation on the basis of self-assessed threats to its interests. Domestically, Bush sought to justify the new imperial dictum by wrapping himself up in Stars and Stripes to counter the September 11 threat.

 The arrogance of power was on full display as the world watched the degree to which Bush had appropriated the campaign against terrorism to implement his imperial vision in Iraq. The world's sympathy for America following the September 11 attacks evaporated. France, together with Russia and Germany, responded by entangling the Bush administration in the fine print of a resolution. Bush has since then been seeking to disentangle himself from 1441, a number that has begun to have the same resonance in the Bush camp as September 11.

 Germany has had its own compulsions in opposing an Iraq war. Chancellor Gerhard Schrڑder used it to win his re-election, but his country's attitude is also governed by an abhorrence of war and its impact on civilian lives based on World War II experience. For France, as to a more limited extent for Russia, it has been a question of seeking to dent America's unilateralist course in a UN setting more to its advantage. The joint Franco-German approach to the Iraq issue in the European Union was a stark contrast to Tony Blair's full-throated support for Bush and he avenged his isolation by getting some of the other members, such as Spain and Italy, to the American side. The former Communist nations of the East and prospective EU members signed on for America, wooing as they are US power and money.

 The EU's projection of a common foreign and security policy lies in ruins, but there was a new twist to Nato, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, with France and Belgium, together with Germany, resisting an American request for the organisation's support for Turkey. It was, they suggested, premature because it would commit Nato to a war in Iraq even before Blix had reported for the second time. Supporting Turkey, a Nato member, was not the issue. The purpose was to moderate America in its headlong rush to war.
 Invectives have been exchanged across the Atlantic as never before, with US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld emerging as a champion fighter who will always be identified with the epithet "old Europe". The Bush administration's tolerance of dissent is proverbially short, but it is surely shortsighted to sabotage institutions before new ones are created and nurtured.

 Bush and his team have had little patience with Nato in the new American imperium. They have been disdainful of the European Nato members' military capabilities and are now seeking to pit the new former Communist members against the more independent-minded old members. As the American operations in Afghanistan have shown, the Bush administration has the rather lowly role for most Nato members of cleaning up the mess in a post-military operation phase. In Washington's view, the United Nations belongs to the same category. Signs of a growing anti-war movement in the US and around the world are a danger signal to the Bush administration. Bush will interpret it the only way he can: it is better to go to war sooner, rather than later.

 

 

 

 


 

 

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An Israeli limited agenda in the London talks
Gulf News, 18-02-2003
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As Israeli and Palestinian delegates head for London to discuss the "quartet's roadmap" further violence and retaliation breaks out in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Such is the duality of the political reality of life in the stricken areas.

   In retaliation for blowing up an Israeli tank - a legitimate target of an occupying force - Israel enters Gaza city, demolishes civilian houses, kills several alleged Hamas supporters and makes an arrest. And then threatens further action as "there will be no immunity, there will be no sanctuary, not in Gaza ... not in any other place." That is according to Raanan Gissen, an aide to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. What chance for peace if such attitudes are allowed to persist?

   Certainly the Israeli delegation going to London has a very limited agenda. While the Palestinians are prepared to talk reforms and much-needed aid with the quartet's International Task Force on Palestinian Reform, the Israeli delegation will only participate in sessions related to economic reforms. It would seem the Israelis are keen to ensure the quartet's proposals fail at the outset. When the previous, and first, meeting was held in London, Israel refused travel rights to some of the Palestinian delegates. Now, it is limiting itself to only selected aspects of the reform measures.


 

 

 


 

 

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U.S. should pay heed to sound French plea
By Mustapha Karkoutli, GN, London |   | 18-02-2003
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When France's Foreign Minster concluded his seven-minute intervention at the meeting of the United Nations Security Council last Friday, the packed hall cheered and clapped in  scenes unfamiliar to the hall.

France is saying that it is possible to peacefully disarm Iraq from Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) that Saddam Hussain's regime may be in possession of. This is what Security Council Resolution 1441 stipulates which was unanimously endorsed by the 15 members of the Security Council.

All 15 nations, including, of course, the five permanent members - United States, United Kingdom, China, Russia and France - agreed that rigorous inspections were the best means to disarm the Iraqi regime.

They also agreed to go the UN route and keep the Security Council at the core of the decision-making process. And it must be said with admiration of Secretary of State Colin Powell's great skill and diplomacy, the U.S. administration has constructively helped to maintain the UN coherence and unity in the process.

For the U.S. to sustain this admirable position, they have to listen to the French and the Russians as well as the Germans, who seem to be able to understand the world public mood better than the Americans.

What France is saying, until and unless the inspectors declare their mission to be impossible, there is every reason to stay the course and no reason to cut off the inspections.

In his brief report to the Security Council, the head of the UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (Unmovic), Dr. Hans Blix, made it clear that his mission was still on course.

There is nothing to indicate in the French position that Paris is siding with Saddam Hussain against the U.S., as some American commentators have tried to paint the French. Paris has not moved an iota from its previous position when votes were cast last November over Resolution 1441.

The issue before us, France is saying, is a serious one: how to rid Iraq and others of their WMD. Given the utmost priority to maintain a strong coalition to fight terrorism, given the risks resulting from the impasse in the Middle East peace process, the French believe the last thing needed in the region now is another war.

This is sound, wise and a far sighted reading of the current precarious situation in the Middle East. The British government knows this very well and Tony Blair has tried very hard to impress his close friend in the White House of this reality on several occasions.

Premier Blair has called on the administration to reactivate its effort on the Middle East and rebuild bridges with the Palestinians in order to resume talks with the Israelis, simultaneously with its endeavour to mobilise support for its Iraq's policy.

For Blair, this is the way to win hearts and minds of Arab people and swing public opinion behind the American-led efforts. But President George Walker Bush has not, and does not want to listen.

Blair was unable to get the Palestinian delegate to London for a meeting he hosted last month, as a result of a travel ban by Israel's Premier Ariel Sharon preventing the Palestinians from leaving. The president did not lift a finger to help his friend in Downing Street.

Now that 80 per cent of world opinion does not think that war on Iraq, as things stand at the moment is warranted, the "war camp" should listen. People feel war would have incalculable consequences; they are asking questions and they are not getting answers.

Blair seems more sensible and he is saying now that inspectors could be given more time. At the Glasgow Labour Party's spring conference, the UK Prime Minister has shown the first signs that he may have to slow his moves for military action against Saddam Hussain's regime.

France is not calling to abandon the war option. It is saying that this option be delayed till the inspection missions reach an impasse. Messers. Blair and Bush know this, because when it comes to the use of force it means that a "second resolution" is needed.

And Blair remains confident that he would be able to win his second UN resolution sanctioning war and public opinion would then swing behind him. But what kind of a "second resolution"? A fig leaf, or a resounding one.

All Security Council members agree on the second resolution. France was, indeed, the first to call for a second resolution to allow the Security Council to come to a collective decision to use force provided it is based on a clearly negative report by the inspectors. This is very different from a second resolution that would be a mere fig leaf.

If the U.S. and Britain want to rid Iraq of its WMD, as well as of its leader, they ought to do this in unity within the Security Council. This is what France, Russia and Germany are proposing.

Attempts to portray their initiative as "an anti-American manoeuvre", as being suggested by the U.S. war-cheering media, are completely unfounded.

Russia Foreign Minister, Igor Ivanov made this position quite clear. "Those who make such suggestions are either unable to discern new trends in world politics or are unable to abandon a Cold War mentality with slogan such as 'those who are not with us are against us'."

The writer is the former president, Foreign Press Association in London. He can be contacted at mkarkouti.opinion@gulfnews.com

 

 


 

 

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Saddam is not alone in having to act quickly

The Daily Star, 2/18/03

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The combination of massive public protests in the West, a relatively positive report from UN weapons inspectors, and the Franco-German initiative seems to have at least delayed the onset of a US-led war against Iraq. One thing that all these factors have in common is they amounted to calls to “give peace a chance” by allowing the inspection process to run its course. The effect has been widely interpreted as a message to Washington that it should hold off on its invasion plans. There are other parties, however, that must also treat the opening window as an opportunity to do more than mark time: Baghdad has to heed the same call as Washington by cooperating unreservedly with the inspectors; and Arab regimes in general must, at long last, throw themselves into reform.
The menace facing Iraq is a sharp one: If it views the slight reduction in the momentum toward war as an occasion for more stalling and equivocation, there is every reason to believe that America will make good on its warnings and unleash more than enough of the massive military might at its disposal to topple Saddam Hussein’s regime. In the process, countless innocent civilians will be killed, and tensions between the West and the Arab world will be heightened. This is not to mention the possibility that a regional war might break out, possibly unleashing weapons of mass destruction and wide-scale ethnic cleansing. Baghdad’s moral obligation to prevent such a scenario is obvious.
The responsibilities of other Arab governments are less clear but no less pressing. They face dwindling influence abroad and mounting malaise at home because the past 10 or 15 years have seen them fall behind their overseas counterparts at an even faster pace than they did before. The end of the Cold War engendered a wave of people power that dispensed with authoritarianism in dozens of countries ­ but missed the Arab world entirely. The process of globalization opened up international trade and rolled back state control over economies around the world ­ but failed to make meaningful inroads here.
Reform should not be shunned as a dirty word because previous efforts have failed. On the contrary, the absence of progress should encourage anyone who recognizes the necessity of change to redouble their commitment. Some Arab countries have been a little more daring than others, but this is obviously not enough. The process cannot acquire the legitimacy it needs to be self-perpetuating unless and until it is embraced wholeheartedly by heavyweights like Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
Cairo and Riyadh are the Arab world’s unquestioned centers of gravity for very different reasons, but they have a common responsibility to stop using their privileged status to maintain the status quo. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Saudi Arabia’s de facto ruler, Crown Prince Abdullah, have a chance to lead Arab civilization to a new and better future. They also run the risk, however, of presiding over a final fall from which recovery will take generations. Just as history will not look kindly on Saddam if he leads his people into a war they cannot win, so will it frown on Mubarak and Abdullah if they accept by default to have the region collapse.

 

 

 


 

 

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The abandonment of Iraq and the death of unity

By Abdelmalik Salman, The Daily Star, 2/18/03

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Perhaps the most ominous aspect of the Iraq crisis is the way the Arabs have been gradually dropping their resistance to America’s war plans, and resigning themselves to the idea that a US invasion of Iraq is preordained fate, which they can do nothing to prevent or avoid. Simultaneously, and to justify this conduct, a number of Arab governments have been aiding and abetting America’s attempts to blame its war on the Iraqi regime, on grounds that it has failed to cooperate with UN weapons inspectors or disarm.
It thus becomes Iraq’s fault if the US attacks it, while legitimacy is bestowed on the blitz even if it lacks UN Security Council endorsement in the form of a new resolution unambiguously authorizing the use of force.
There is mounting evidence of such an approach in official Arab political and media discourse, reflecting a desire to abdicate from the Iraq question and blame the Baghdad regime alone for the impending disaster in Iraq and its devastating consequences for the future of the Arabs as a whole. This adds up to a major dereliction of responsibility by the Arab regimes. At a time when opposition to war is swelling worldwide ­ particularly in Europe via the Franco-German axis, but also up to a point from China and Russia ­ Arab states are moving in the opposition direction and developing policies aimed at justifying or finding excuses for Washington’s aggressive behavior.
This attitude is truly weird, because no one on the international stage stands to suffer as badly as the Arabs from the prospective American war on Iraq. The Arabs would be better off formulating a coherent collective position that backs those of France, Germany and Russia, and disrupts and challenges America’s war plans.
It would have been possible to foil and even abort those plans had the Arabs taken a strong and resolute stand against them, thereby bolstering the worldwide anti-war front. But it appears that most of the major Arab states have, due to shortsighted considerations of narrow and immediate self-interest, opted to submit to American pressure and wash their hands off the Iraq Question.  The Americans have confirmed this by announcing that no fewer than 12 Arab countries have privately consented to back a US war on Iraq and provide the necessary aid and facilities.
Further confirmation is provided by the following phenomena:
1. The Arabs states’ acquiescence to Washington’s political agenda in the Arab world and their submission to the American order of priorities in the Middle East.
At a time when the butcher Ariel Sharon is escalating his bloody war of terror against the Palestinian people, and rejecting any initiatives aimed at ending the violence and reverting to negotiations, the Arabs have fallen in line behind the US policy of sidelining the Palestine question ­ the nexus of conflict and tension in the region ­­ and portraying Iraq as the source of the region’s troubles. This is patently false, especially since the UN inspectors resumed their task of completing Iraq’s disarmament. This attitude can only make things worse for the Arabs. The Palestine question remains incendiary and explosive, yet by being plunged into an American war on Iraq they will find themselves becoming embroiled in another inferno ­ one which could lead to region-wide anarchy, and culminate in the collapse of the entire Arab order as it gives way to neocolonial American and Israeli hegemony over the region.
2. The Arabs have been echoing the US propaganda aimed at blaming the impending explosion in the region on Iraq. The Arab states began by demanding that Baghdad readmit the inspectors in order to resolve its standoff with Washington peacefully. But after it admitted them, they took to parroting US allegations that it was concealing weapons from them, rather than pressing for the inspectors to be given enough time to complete their work, and demanding that the US cooperate with them and supply them with the information it holds so they can investigate it ­ instead of concealing it while arguing that the inspections are pointless and the inspectors’ task is futile in order to justify the drive toward war.
3. The idea that each Arab country should look to its own salvation, at the expense of Arab solidarity that is never needed more than at critical times like these, has been gaining currency.
It has been given expression in the slogan that this or that Arab state comes “first” ­ i.e. that priority goes to upholding the interests of each Arab state separately, even if that means abandoning Iraq to a US invasion. Yet the whole world is aware by now that the aim of the invasion is not to eliminate Iraqi weapons, but to take control of Iraq’s oil, and then use the country as a springboard for extending US hegemony over the rest of the Arab Mashreq and Gulf. The US will not flinch from using its forces in occupied Iraq to blackmail and threaten other Arab regimes, or from acting to depose them if they do not submit totally to US dictates.
The “my country first” slogan dispenses with what remains of the notion of Arab solidarity, yet does not in reality provide the individual countries concerned with any protection against US subjugation and hegemony. On the contrary, it is liable to tempt the US to go ever further in stifling any independent leanings, thus ushering in a new colonial era in the Arab world.
4. The absence of any plans for, or official interest in, reviving Arab League conventions, particularly the Joint Arab Defense Pact, which deems any foreign aggression against any Arab state to constitute aggression against all the others.
The pact obliges all other Arab states to quickly extend various forms of support, in particular military assistance, to whatever country is attacked on grounds that this constitutes defense of Arab security against an external threat. Yet not only is the pact being deliberately ignored, a number of Arab states have secretly undertaken to provide facilities and bases for US aggression against a fellow Arab state. Scandalously, they are even prepared to contribute to an attack on Iraq without a veneer of international legality, and in the absence of a new Security Council resolution.
This amounts to a complete and final abandonment not only of Arab solidarity, but also of adherence to international law. This, after 12 years of invoking international law to throttle Iraq with economic sanctions, even while US protection of Israel ensured that international law could not be applied to the Palestine question. So the Arabs manage uniquely to become victims of international law in all cases: when it imposes sanctions (as in Iraq), when it is ignored (as in Palestine), and when the sanctions it provides for are blocked (the case of Israel).
5. Arab deference to the US-Israeli scheme of things has meant the abandonment of the Arab attempt, which had at one stage looked promising, to achieve inter-Arab reconciliation and reform the Arab order.
This was manifested in the Saudi-Iraqi reconciliation initiative launched at last year’s Arab summit in Beirut, which witnessed the historic handshake between Crown Prince Abdullah and Vice-President Izzat Ibrahim.
That was accompanied by a parallel Arab initiative aimed at ending the Arab-Israeli conflict: the Saudi proposal for full Arab normalization with Israel in exchange for its full withdrawal from the Arab territories occupied in 1967 and its acknowledgement of the Palestinian people’s inalienable rights. But the US and Israel launched a counter-move, which succeeded in sidelining the peace initiative, and focusing attention on Iraq.
All this leaves Iraq facing aggression alone, while the Arab states justify their stillness by invoking political realism and the illusion of adhering to “international legality” as defined exclusively by America.

Abdelmalik Salman is an Egyptian political analyst who heads the Studies and Research Department at the Bahrain daily Akhbar al-Khaleej.

 

 

 


 

 

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Iranian dissident is war’s first casualty

By Ali Nourizadeh

The Daily Star, 2/18/03

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Although it has been more than 24 centuries since Alexander the Great invaded Persepolis, Iranians still remember two of their heroes of that era: Aryo-Barzan, the brave Persian commander who fought to the death at the head of his Khaledoon Brigade but failed to check Alexander’s advance after 48 days of fighting; and a local village headman who betrayed his homeland by guiding the invading Macedonians through the mountains to the rear of Aryo-Barzan’s lines. That was how Alexander managed to defeat the Iranians and subjugate the Pars Empire.
Iranian history deals extremely harshly with those deemed to have joined the enemy at crucial points in time. Even their names are not mentioned; they are only referred to as traitors.
In other words, while the invaders themselves ­ men like Alexander, Genghis, Hulagu and Teimour ­ have gradually gained acceptance by Iranians, those who aided and abetted them have not. They are still referred to as traitors who helped the foreign invaders gain access to the Iranian heartland.
It has to be said that there were not many traitors in Iranian history. Yet in the years following World War I, and with the advent of the Communist Party and other left-wing and Islamist political movements, the concept of treachery lost its significance under the weight of different ideologies. It was Tudeh, the Iranian communist group, that first introduced the idea that “the party’s interests precede those of the homeland” into the Iranian political lexicon. What this idea meant in practice was that Tudeh leaders and cadres had become a fifth column for Soviet intelligence.
When, under the shah, Iranian military intelligence caught active communist cells in the Iranian armed forces, arrested communist officers testified that they believed giving secret documents to the KGB was a patriotic act, since they were helping the Soviet Union in its struggle against world imperialism. A Soviet victory, the Iranian communist officers believed, would liberate countries like Iran from the shackles of colonialism that were holding them back.
This concept was not abandoned with the fall of the shah; at the height of the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war under Iran’s Islamic regime, Captain Bahram Afzali, the Iranian Navy’s commander in chief, and eight other senior officers were arrested for providing the director of the local KGB station with a large number of secret documents over many years.
Before he was shot for treason, Afzali said he had agreed to hand over the secret documents to the KGB after having been convinced by Tudeh first secretary Noureddine Kianuri that the United States was plotting to prolong the war, and that the Soviet Union could bring it to an end if only it had more information about Iranian military plans.
When, after fleeing Iran in 1981, Mujahideen-e-Khalq leader Masoud Rajavi signed a peace agreement with then Iraqi Foreign Minister Tarek Aziz, he justified his action by saying the resistance (i.e. his organization) was the legitimate representative of the Iranian people and was thus authorized to sue for peace with Iraq.
Yet former Iranian President Abolhassan Bani-Sadr (who was Rajavi’s erstwhile ally, besides being his father-in-law), who had fled along with him to Paris in 1981, considered Rajavi’s action to be treasonous. Not only did he break with the Mujahideen leader, but his daughter Firouzeh divorced Rajavi as well.
When Rajavi decided to relocate to Iraq together with his followers, it transpired that Bani-Sadr’s fears that the Mujahideen would become subservient to Iraq were well founded.
Rajavi committed political suicide by choosing Iraq as a base for his organization ­ at a time when Iraqi missiles were raining on Iranian cities, and Iraqi chemical weapons were killing thousands of Iranian soldiers and civilians. Despite the fact that he formed an armed force (called the Army of National Liberation) with hundreds of tanks, guns and modern helicopter gunships (courtesy of the Iraqi Army), and despite having a strong propaganda machine, Rajavi failed to cultivate support for his organization inside Iran. In fact, his insistence on being the sole alternative to the Iranian regime was one of the main reasons why the regime survived.
Domestically, fear of the possibility that Rajavi would seize power should the regime fall was an important reason why widespread disaffection and anger among the Iranian population did not spill over into a mass revolt like it did back in 1979.
It now seems that the association between the Mujahideen-e-Khalq and the Iraqi regime is not a marriage of convenience. Rajavi’s men have been incorporated into the Iraqi Army and intelligence forces. In the Iraqi uprising of 1991, Rajavi’s men played a prominent role in subjugating Shiites and Kurds. They donned Iranian uniforms and infiltrated Shiite towns as liberators but soon initiated a war of genocide against the Shiites. In the north, they fought side by side with the Iraqi Army against the Kurds.
Even though they lacked popular support inside Iran, the Mujahideen nevertheless managed ­ despite Mohammad Khatami’s resounding victory in the presidential election of 1997, in which voters largely ignored Rajavi’s call from Baghdad to boycott the poll ­ to maintain their position as the only credible alternative to the Islamic regime.
President’s Khatami’s victory, however, was bad news for Rajavi’s group. Within two years, the United States (followed by Britain and the European Union) named the Mujahideen-e-Khalq as a pro-Iraq terrorist organization. Its offices in London, Washington and other cities were closed down. Rajavi’s hopes of addressing the United Nations one day (like Nelson Mandela and other Third World leaders of the 1960s did) thus went up in smoke.
The Mujahideen’s fate will not be any better than that of its Iraqi sponsors. In fact, there are already indications that Iraq is prepared to ditch the organization in exchange for better relations with Iran in these critical times.
According to sources in the Iranian presidency, Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein wrote a letter to Khatami (which Foreign Minister Naji Sabri delivered on Feb. 9) offering several concessions, including delineating the border between the two countries, going back to the 1975 Treaty of Algiers and giving the Iraq-based Mujahideen a choice between returning to Iran and relocating to a third country.
It is not unlikely that the autonomous Kurdish area in northern Iraq will witness an influx of fleeing Mujahideen cadres in the next few days. Meanwhile, a Mujahideen delegation is already touring European capitals in a quest for a safe haven for Rajavi, his wife Maryam and other senior cadres.
Rajavi’s place in Iranian history looks secure ­ together with that village headman who betrayed his country to Alexander the Great 2,400 years ago.

Ali Nourizadeh, one-time political editor of the Tehran daily Ettelaat, is an Iranian researcher at the London-based Center for Arab-Iranian Studies and the editor of its Arabic-language newsletter Al-Mujes an-Iran.

 

 

 


 

 

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Arab states stage another show of disunity over Iraq

An Arab press review, By The Daily Star, 2/18/03

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The failure of the Arab states to agree a date for an emergency summit on Iraq is seen in the press as confirmation of a deepening split within Arab ranks over what to do about a war no one wants but many consider unavoidable.
Commentators express dismay at the Arab governments’ inability to forge a common position on the crisis, contrasting their sluggishness with the increasingly assertive anti-war stance being taken by European and other countries and by grassroots movements worldwide.
But they are in two minds about Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s motives for suddenly ­ on the eve of the previously scheduled meeting of Arab foreign ministers in Cairo ­ calling for a gathering of Arab leaders, ostensibly to help promote a peaceful solution.
George Bkasini and Rami Ibrahim report for the Beirut daily Al-Mustaqbal from Cairo that Mubarak’s suggestion was shelved after Syria and other Arab states ­ surprised at the shift in policy by Egypt, which had hitherto been opposed to bringing forward next month’s regular annual Arab summit ­ demanded more time for Arab leaders to consult about the “nature and substance” of their proposed emergency session.
The paper says the Egyptians had wanted the foreign ministers to confine their deliberations to the timing and agenda of the summit. But other participants insisted on holding a substantive discussion on Iraq, and issuing a joint statement on the matter.
Hence their awkwardly worded message “rejecting” any aggression against either Iraq or Kuwait and urging Arab states to refrain from “providing any assistance or facilities to any military action that threatens the security, safety and territorial integrity of Iraq.” Al-Mustaqbal says the foreign ministers of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar argued that any joint statement on Iraq should be left for the proposed summit to issue. But their Syrian and Iraqi counterparts insisted it be released at the foreign ministers’ meeting to avoid giving the impression that the Arab states were unable to agree on the “components of a collective stance.”
The wording, however, was a compromise. According to Al-Mustaqbal, a more explicit undertaking by Arab states to deny any “military assistance” to an attack on Iraq was blocked by Qatar, whose foreign minister argued it would be a “lie” to pretend that all the Arab states were “seriously” committed to such a position, and threatened to say so in public. The Kuwaitis, who had insisted that the threat posed by Iraq to their country be addressed too, registered their opposition even to the watered-down statement.
Talal Salman, publisher of the Beirut daily As-Safir, describes the diplomatic wrangling in Cairo as a “new scandal” for the Arab world.
He “congratulates” the Arab foreign ministers in a front-page commentary for managing to meet at all “and have their photo taken with the European envoy who came to announce his solidarity with us, only to find us lacking solidarity with ourselves.”
As usual, they failed to agree and “hid their failure behind an all-things-to-all-men statement,” he writes in his article.
How could they have agreed a common stance against war when the Gulf states are openly providing the US with bases and facilities to wage one, and other Arab states like Jordan are doing the same “clandestinely,” Salman wonders. “The important thing is that they met. As for agreeing on anything, they left that, as usual, to the leaders, and regrettably many of them will be busy with other things until further notice.”
Salman says it is disgraceful that while governments and peoples around the world are standing up to planned US aggression against an Arab country, its fellow Arabs themselves should appear to be colluding against it. None of the scores of countries or tens of millions of anti-war protesters worldwide “are enamored of Saddam Hussein’s ‘democracy,’” and their resistance to the Bush administration’s aggressive militarism does not reflect antipathy toward the US or the American people. Yet Arab leaders cite Saddam’s misrule and the need to avoid “provoking” the Americans as their excuse for indolence.
“The Arab foreign ministers’ meeting in Cairo did not fail,” says Salman. It succeeded in “exposing” the fact that the majority of Arab regimes are openly or tacitly colluding with the Bush administration’s designs. This collusion will “isolate them and weaken their ability to claim to speak for their peoples,” he warns. “And the isolated and ostracized are no use even to their American masters, but will become a burden on them.”
Mohammed al-Sammak of Al-Mustaqbal says it is astonishing that the Arab states should have to wait for France to prod them to “wake up” and throw their weight behind growing international opposition to a war that will undermine them most.
He argues that the Arabs should have convened an emergency summit on Iraq “months ago,” as soon as UN Security Council Resolution 1441 was issued, to promote a peaceful solution to the crisis and rally the world behind one.
If they don’t convene it now, their summit risks becoming a “wake” at which they “receive condolences” for Iraq, he warns. But if they cannot ­ having been “barred” from taking collective action against war, either under Arab League auspices or in a wider regional framework involving Turkey and Iran ­  they should still not “surrender to the fait accompli which the US is trying to impose with its military might,” he argues.
“The least that can be done is to respond to the French initiative by supporting the French-Russian-German proposal for developing Resolution 1441 by peaceful means and thus blocking the US decision to go to war,” Sammak writes. “Or does Arab impotence make even that too much to ask?”
In the Gulf, the UAE daily Al-Khaleej charges that some Arab states would rather defer the proposed summit until after the US has savaged Iraq in order to save themselves the embarrassment of having to take a stand either way.
The paper writes that there is mounting evidence that the Americans are planning to start their war in a couple of weeks’ time, at the end of February or early March. It argues that burgeoning international opposition to war ­ shown at the UN Security Council last week and on the streets of hundreds of cities worldwide at the weekend ­ could prompt Washington to speed up its recourse to war.
The countdown is dividing the world more sharply into pro- and anti-war camps, yet the Arab states are trying to continue straddling the fence for as long as possible, Al-Khaleej complains. “That’s why they appear to be in no rush, deliberating, waiting and trying to delay their summit as much as possible. Some are even said to be hoping that war breaks out tomorrow, thus sparing them the need to take a prior position that might upset one side or the other, specifically the White House.”
The leading Saudi pan-Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat hints that the Arab states could overcome their disagreements by making their support for war conditional on UN authorization.
It writes in its main editorial that while there needs to be an emergency summit to discuss Iraq, it must come up with a “different Arab remedy for the situation” that goes beyond the issue of compliance or non-compliance with UN resolutions.
The Arab states should also acknowledge that there is a genuine dispute between those whose territory is to be used as a springboard for invading Iraq and those that reject such a thing, the paper counsels. These differences could be bridged by determining if “the theory that the war is between Iraq and the UN” is acceptable or not, and what its practical implications are, it says.
The Saudi daily Al-Riyadh says a summit can only succeed if Baghdad appreciates that it is not in the Arabs’ power to prevent the US waging war.
“That requires personal courage from Saddam Hussein,” it argues. To block the Americans’ plans, the Iraqi leader should commit himself to political and economic “reforms,” even if they lead to him becoming a “symbolic figurehead” while the Iraqi people freely choose whoever they want to govern them.
This might provide the Americans with a face-saving way of dropping their plans for military action, the paper suggests. If Saddam were to step down in order to save Iraq, he need not see that as a defeat, Al-Riyadh suggests. “Rather it would be a wise and rational if not heroic move, which perhaps would overrule the sentences, both moral and judicial, that were passed against him earlier.”
Jordanian columnist and former Information Minister Saleh Qallab believes that issuing a veiled ultimatum for Saddam to relinquish power is Mubarak’s main reason for trying to convene an emergency summit.
He writes in Asharq al-Awsat that prior to the Egyptian president’s surprise announcement, there had been “no intention” of convening any gathering of Arab leaders before their scheduled conference in March. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan all opposed bringing the meeting forward unless all the Arab states, including Iraq, could reach prior agreement on a consensus position.
But Mubarak appears to have come to the conclusion that the Americans have decided on military action and are no longer bluffing, and that it is imperative to act at once in a last-ditch effort to prevent a devastating war.
The question, says Qallab, is what can the Arab leaders actually do other than “issue a statement absolving themselves, mourning the deceased,” and confessing their impotence? “In all likelihood, this sudden Arab move, at the last minute before the American finger squeezes the trigger, has come in response to European and American requests for the Arabs to do what they can to avoid war and resolve the crisis peacefully ­ on the assumption that Saddam might accept from the Arab states what he could never accept from the US or Europe.”
The proposed summit will not issue a clear or direct call for Saddam to resign and “save Iraq by sacrificing himself,” Qallab writes. It is more likely to do so obliquely by issuing dire warnings about what is to happen, and urging the Iraqi leader to appreciate the gravity of the threats facing Iraq and do his utmost to foil the designs of his country’s enemies.
Qallab stresses that he has “no confirmed information about this,” but says it’s clear from remarks made by Mubarak and other Arab leaders ­ and from Al-Ahram editor Ibrahim Nafie’s recent editorials, which reflect official thinking ­ that this is what he had in mind when he called for an emergency summit.
“The bitter truth is that the chance of avoiding war has become extremely slim, and the only opportunity lies in the Iraqi president taking the step which the Arab summit, and the whole world, expects of him in order to turn the tables on the aggressors and keep away the specter of destruction haunting Iraq and its people,” according to Qallab.
Ghassan Sharbel of the Saudi-run pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat seems to agree, writing that summit participants will have to decide whether full Iraqi cooperation with UN arms inspections is enough to avert war, “or whether this time the price required is nothing less than the eclipse of Saddam Hussein from the seat of decision-making in Baghdad.”
He writes that while the declared aim of the summit is to support Franco-German efforts to avoid war, French President Jacques Chirac has himself taken to wishing aloud that the Iraqi leader would disappear from the scene. “When this is said by the man leading the revolt against the American drive to war, that makes the Iraqi president’s fate a major item on the agenda of the Sharm el-Sheikh summit, even if it is not written in clear ink,” Sharbel says.
Egypt’s Al-Ahram, meanwhile, declares that if war is to be averted “the Arabs must have the maximum degree of Iraqi cooperation.”
It explains in its leader that Baghdad needs to “exert every possible effort to support the Arab-European position” and the 11th-hour diplomacy aimed at preventing military action. Al-Ahram doesn’t elaborate, other than to stress the importance of Iraq’s cooperation with the arms inspectors.
“We don’t want Iraq to be isolated from Arab ranks, the American scheme to see its way to implementation, or the pan-Arab nation to become divided and dysfunctional as happened during the Second Gulf War,” Al-Ahram declares, before concluding: “The solution is in Iraq’s hands alone.”

 

 

 


 

 

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Positions clarify as the stakes rise

By Rosemary Hollis

Jordan Times, 2/18/03

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A DRAMATIC meeting at the UN Security Council, with Hans Blix giving a report which undermined the US case against Iraq, followed by a day of demonstrations against war in hundreds of cities around the world, have raised the stakes but not necessarily averted military action. As the temperature rises in key international fora, from the European Union, to NATO, to the Security Council, some clarity about the contending arguments for and against is at last emerging.

Faced with a million people massing in the streets of London, among them veteran protesters and novices, Christians and Muslims, communists and parliamentarians, Labour and Liberal Democrats, the British prime minister changed his line on Iraq. At a speech delivered with passion to the Labour Party in Scotland, Tony Blair put the case for regime change in Baghdad in the interests of the Iraqi people.

He knows and acknowledged that the legal case for military action has to rest on the issue before the Security Council, namely Iraqi compliance with Resolution 1441 on disarmament. However, he said, there will be a blood price for the continuance of Saddam Hussein in power, in human lives lost and torture inflicted in Iraq itself. Blair is back on the ground he championed in the run up to military action in Kosovo and Afghanistan, saving people from brutal regimes.

In his eloquent and moving speech to the Security Council, French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin put the case against war also on humanitarian grounds. In a dig at the Americans, whose defence secretary had dismissed France, along with Germany, as “old Europe”, de Villepin said he spoke for an old country conscious from its history of the horrors of war.

In so doing, de Villepin moved the argument beyond the issue of Iraqi compliance and alleged deception to the desirability of finding a way to avoid war, if possible, for fear of the consequences. He painted a spectre of human suffering and regional instability unleashed by war.

In response, and discarding his set speech, US Secretary of State Colin Powell also spoke with force. But he challenged the Security Council to consider what serious consequences should await Saddam if, as Powell believes, he is playing games with the UN rather than meeting its demands.

The arguments now on the table are seemingly irreconcilable. Blair says war can rescue the Iraqi people from their suffering. De Villepin says the humanitarian and unintended consequences of war are too awful to risk if the case is not compelling on the arms issue. Powell says Iraq is deceiving the UN so war has to be contemplated. Yet, none of these three positions can stand in isolation.

As the French concede, the inspections have only worked thus far because of the threat of war provided by the United States. Take that away and Iraq is off the hook. The Americans cannot call for action in the name of upholding UN authority if the majority of the Security Council is unconvinced that the Iraqis are indeed playing tricks or, if so, that their subterfuge is sufficient to warrant war. The British cannot deliver a better future for the Iraqis on the back of a US assault alone.

The seriousness of this last contention became clear only recently. Members of the Iraqi opposition meeting in Iraqi Kurdistan revealed that they have been informed by US officials that a war will be followed by a US military administration working in coordination with existing Baath Party and army cadres. This may be a more efficient formula for running post-Saddam Iraq than a coalition of fractious opposition groups distrusted by the current civilian and military establishment. However, hopes of democracy and avoidance of US imperialism will be dashed.

Pragmatists in the US administration need to weigh the benefits of going it alone, without the encumbrance of UN allies or Iraqi opposition groups, against the costs of increased anti-Americanism among their allies and across the Middle East — if they flout international law, try to run Iraq by military fiat and presumably take a hand in energy development. They need also to calculate how they are going to cater and pay for the huge humanitarian consequences of war without UN assistance.

The way forward now could be for the French to oblige Powell with a detailed examination of what “serious consequences” could actually mean. They could engage the US administration on their war plans and challenge them to explain how they intend to limit civilian casualties, provide emergency food and health care, and justify US military rule the day after. In return, the French could be challenged to explain how they expect to keep up the pressure on Baghdad to complete the inspections and disarmament process.

The task of the British, and one dear to Blair's heart, could be to try once more to extract a clearer undertaking from Washington to do something concrete about resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Such an effort would have the backing of the Jordanian, Egyptian and Saudi governments and the endorsement of the Arab League. With this, the US international image could improve immensely.

To reconcile all the positions at the UN Security Council, a vision could be articulated for Iraqi and regional development and conflict resolution in the aftermath of the current crisis. The Iraqi regime could even be told that more than just disarmament, help is required. Political reform is also needed and the UN and United States could help if Baghdad would agree to effect its own, internal, “regime change”.

This may sound like a chimera, but serious engagement between all the key parties involved in handling the crisis, which is threatening international legality, the Western alliance and Middle Eastern stability as well as the future of Iraq, could open more options. The alternative is a US war for regime change which will result in all the hostility and costs that every imperial adventure has encountered through history, if not worse in this age of transnational terrorism.

 

 

 


 

 

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