US, China, Russia, and Iran:
A World of Multiple Detonators of Global
Wars
By James Petras
Al-Jazeerah, CCUN,
December 21, 2018
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We face a world of multiple wars some leading to direct global
power
conflagrations and others that begin as regional conflicts but
quickly spread to big power
confrontations.
We will proceed to identify ‘great power’ confrontations and then
proceed to
discuss the stages of ‘proxy’ wars with world war
consequences.
In our times the US is the principal power in search of world
domination through
force and violence. Washington has targeted top
level targets, namely China, Russia,and
Iran; secondary objectives
include Afghanistan, North and Central Africa, Caucuses and
Latin
America.
China is the prime enemy of the US for several
economic, political and military
reasons: China is the second
largest economy in the world; its technology has challenged
US
supremacy; it has built global economic networks reaching across three
continents.
China has replaced the US in overseas markets,
investments and infrastructures. China
has built an alternative
socio-economic model which links state banks and planning to
private
sector priorities. On all these counts the US has fallen behind and its
future
prospects are declining.
In response, the US has resorted to a closed protectionist economy at
home and an
aggressive military led imperial economy abroad.
President Trump has declared a tariff
war on China; and multiple,
separatist and propaganda war; and an aerial and maritime
war of
encirclement.
The first line of attack is exorbitant tariffs on China’s exports to
the US and its
vassals. Secondly, is the expansion of overseas bases
in Asia. Thirdly, is the promotion
of separatist clients in Hong
Kong, Tibet, and among the Uighurs. Fourthly, is the use of
sanctions to bludgeon EU and Asian allies into joining the economic war
against China.
China has responded by increasing its military
security, expanding its economic networks
and raising economic
tariffs on US exports.
The US economic war has moved to a higher level by arresting and
seizing a top
executive of China’s foremost technological company,
Huawei.
The White House has moved up the ladder of aggression from sanctions
to
provocation, it is one step from military retaliation. The
nuclear fuse has been lit.
Russia faces similar
threats to its domestic economy and its overseas allies,
especially
China and Iran .Moreover the US has broken its compliance with the
intermediate nuclear missiles. agreement
Iran faces oil sanctions, military encirclement and
attacks on proxy allies namely
Yemen, Syria and the Gulf region
Washington relies on Saudi Arabia, Israel and their
paramilitary
groups to apply military and economic pressure to undermine Iran’s
economy and impose a ‘regime change’.
Each of the three strategic
targets of the US are central to its drive for global
dominance;
dominating China would lead to the takeover of Asia, weakening Russia
isolates Europe ; the overthrow of Iran enhances US power over the
oil market and the
Islamic world. As the US escalates its aggression
and provocations we face the threat of
a global nuclear war or, at
the best, a world economic breakdown.
Wars by Proxy
The US has targeted a second tier of enemies, in Latin America, Asia
and Africa.
In Latin America the US has waged economic warfare
against Venezuela, Cuba
and Nicaragua. More recently it has applied
political and economic pressure on Bolivia.
Washington has relied on
its vassal allies, including Brazil, Peru, Chile, Ecuador,
Argentina
and Paraguay and domestic right-wing elites.
As in numerous other cases, Washington relies on military coups and
corrupt
legislaters and judges to rule against incumbent progressive
regimes Against President
Morales, Washington relies on US
foundation funded NGO’s; dissident indigenous
leaders and retired
military officials. The US relies on local armed proxies to further US
imperial goals in order to give the appearance of a ‘civil war’
rather than gross US
intervention.
In fact, once the so-called ‘dissidents’ or ‘rebels’ establish a
beachhead they
‘invite’ US military advisers, secure military aid
and serve as propaganda weapons
against Russia, China and Iran –
‘first tier’ adversaries.
In recent years US proxy conflicts have
been a weapon of choice in the Kosovo
separatist war against Serbia;
the Ukraine coup of 2014 and war against Eastern Ukraine;
the Kurd
take over of Northern Iraq and Syria; the US backed separatist Uighurs
attack in
the Chinese province of Xinjiang.
The US has established 32 military bases in Africa, to coordinate
activities with
local warlords and plutocrats. Their proxy wars are
described as local conflicts between
‘legitimate’ regimes and
Islamic terrorists, tribalists and tyrants.
The objectives of proxy wars are threefold. They serve as ‘feeders’
into larger
territorial wars encircling China, Russia and Iran.
Secondly, proxy wars are ‘testing grounds’ to measure the
vulnerability and
responsive capacity of the targeted strategic
adversary, i.e. Russia, China and Iran.
Thirdly, the proxy wars are ‘low cost’ and ‘low risk’ attacks on
strategic enemies.
The lead up to a major confrontation by stealth.
Equally important ‘proxy wars’ serve as propaganda tools, accusing
strategic
adversaries as ‘expansionist authoritarian’ enemies of
‘western values’.
Conclusion
US empire builders engage in multiple types of aggression directed at
imposing a
unipolar world. At the center are trade wars against
China; regional military conflicts
with Russia, and economic
sanctions against Iran.
These large scale, long-term strategic
weapons are complemented by proxy wars,
involving regional vassal
states which are designed to erode the economic bases of allies
of
anti-imperialist powers.
Hence, the US attacks on China via tariff wars aims to sabotage its
global “Belt
and Road’ infrastructure projects linking China with 82
counties.
Likewise, the US attempts to isolate Russian via a proxy war in Syria
as it did
with Iraq, Libya and the Ukraine.
Isolating strategic anti-imperial power via regional wars, sets the
stage for the
‘final assault’ – regime change by coup or nuclear
war.
However, the US drive for world domination has so far failed to
isolate or weaken
its strategic adversaries.
China moves forward with its global infrastructure program; and the
trade war has
had little impact in isolating Bejing from its
principal markets. Moreover, the US policy
has increased China’s
role as a leading advocate of ‘open trade’ against President
Trump’s
protectionism.
Likewise, the tactics of encircling and sanctioning Russia has
deepened ties
between Moscow and Beijing. The US has increased its
nominal ‘proxies’ in Latin
America and Africa but they all depend on
trade and investments from China. This is
especially true of
agro-mineral exports to China.
Notwithstanding the limits of US
power and its failure to topple regimes,
Washington has taken moves
to compensate for its failures by escalating the threats of a
global
war. It kidnaps Chinese economic leaders; it moves war ships off China’s
coast; it
allies with neo-fascist elites in the Ukraine. It threatens
to bomb Iran. In other words the
US political leaders have embarked
on adventurous policies always on the verge of
igniting one, two,
many nuclear fuses.
It is easy to imagine how a failed trade war can lead to a nuclear
war; a regional
conflict can entail a greater war.
Can we prevent World War III?
I believe it can happen. The US economy is built on fragile
foundations; its elites are deeply divided. Its main allies in France
and the UK are in deep crises. The war mongers and war makers lack
popular support. There are reasons to hope!
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