The Politics of Military Ascendancy:
The rise of the Generals to Strategic
Positions in the Trump Regime
By James Petras
Al-Jazeerah, CCUN,
October 2, 2017
|
|
|
|
Generals appointed to high positions in the Trump administration |
|
Introduction
Clearly the US has escalated the pivotal role of the military in the
making of
foreign and, by extension, domestic policy. The rise of
‘the Generals’ to strategic
positions in the Trump regime is
evident, deepening its role as a highly autonomous force
determining
US strategic policy agendas.
In this paper we will discuss the advantages that the military elite
accumulate
from the war agenda and the reasons why ‘the Generals’
have been able to impose their
definition of international
realities.
We will discuss the military’s ascendancy over Trump’s civilian
regime as a result
of the relentless degradation of his presidency by
his political opposition.
The Prelude to Militarization: Obama’s
Multi-War Strategy and Its Aftermath
The central role of the military
in deciding US foreign policy has its roots in the
strategic
decisions taken during the Obama-Clinton Presidency. Several policies
were
decisive in the rise of unprecedented military-political power.
1. The massive increase of US troops in Afghanistan and their
subsequent failures
and retreat weakened the Obama-Clinton regime
and increased animosity between
the military and the Obama’s
Administration. As a result of his failures, Obama
downgraded the
military and weakened Presidential authority.
2. The massive US-led
bombing and destruction of Libya, the overthrow of the
Gadhafi
government and the failure of the Obama-Clinton administration to
impose a puppet regime, underlined the limitations of US air power and
the
ineffectiveness of US political-military intervention. The
Presidency blundered in
its foreign policy in North Africa and
demonstrated its military ineptness.
3. The invasion of Syria by US-funded mercenaries and terrorists
committed the US
to an unreliable ally in a losing war. This led to
a reduction in the military budget
and encouraged the Generals to
view their direct control of overseas wars and
foreign policy as the
only guarantee of their positions.
4. The US military intervention in Iraq was only a secondary
contributing factor in
the defeat of ISIS; the major actors and
beneficiaries were Iran and the allied Iraqi
Shia militias.
5. The Obama-Clinton engineered coup and power grab in the Ukraine
brought a
corrupt incompetent military junta to power in Kiev and
provoked the secession
of the Crimea (to Russia) and Eastern Ukraine
(allied with Russia). The Generals
were sidelined and found that
they had tied themselves to Ukrainian kleptocrats
while dangerously
increasing political tensions with Russia. The Obama regime
dictated
economic sanctions against Moscow, designed to compensate for their
ignominious military-political failures.
The Obama-Clinton legacy
facing Trump was built around a three-legged stool:
an international
order based on military aggression and confrontation with Russia; a
‘pivot to Asia’ defined as the military encirclement and economic
isolation of China – via
bellicose threats and economic sanctions
against North Korea; and the use of the military
as the praetorian
guards of free trade agreements in Asia excluding China.
The Obama
‘legacy’ consists of an international order of globalized capital and
multiple wars. The continuity of Obama’s ‘glorious legacy’ initially
depended on the
election of Hillary Clinton.
Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, for its part, promised to
dismantle or
drastically revise the Obama Doctrine of an
international order based on multiple wars,
neo-colonial ‘nation’
building and free trade. A furious Obama ‘informed’ (threatened)
the
newly-elected President Trump that he would face the combined hostility
of the entire
State apparatus, Wall Street and the mass media if he
proceeded to fulfill his election
promises of economic nationalism
and thus undermine the US-centered global order.
Trump’s bid to shift
from Obama’s sanctions and military confrontation to
economic
reconciliation with Russia was countered by a hornet’s nest of
accusations
about a Trump-Russian electoral conspiracy, darkly
hinting at treason and show trials
against his close allies and even
family members.
The concoction of a Trump-Russia plot was only the first step toward
a total war
on the new president, but it succeeded in undermining
Trump’s economic nationalist
agenda and his efforts to change
Obama’s global order.
Trump Under Obama’s International
Order
After only 8 months in office President Trump helplessly gave into
the firings,
resignations and humiliation of each and every one of
his civilian appointees, especially
those who were committed to
reverse Obama’s ‘international order’.
Trump was elected to replace
wars, sanctions and interventions with economic
deals beneficial to
the American working and middle class. This would include
withdrawing the military from its long-term commitments to
budget-busting ‘nation
building’ (occupation) in Iraq, Afghanistan,
Syria, Libya and other Obama-designated
endless war zones.
Trump’s military priorities were supposed to focus on strengthening
domestic
frontiers and overseas markets. He started by demanding
that NATO partners pay for
their own military defense
responsibilities. Obama’s globalists in both political parties
were
aghast that the US might lose it overwhelming control of NATO; they
united and
moved immediately to strip Trump of his economic
nationalist allies and their programs.
Trump quickly capitulated and
fell into line with Obama’s international order,
except for one
proviso – he would select the Cabinet to implement the old/new
international order.
A hamstrung Trump chose a military cohort of Generals, led by General
James
Mattis (famously nicknamed ‘Mad Dog’) as Defense Secretary.
The Generals effectively took over the Presidency. Trump abdicated
his
responsibilities as President.
General Mattis: The Militarization of America
General Mattis took up the Obama legacy of global militarization and
added his
own nuances, including the ‘psychological-warfare’
embedded in Trump’s emotional
ejaculations on ‘Twitter’.
The ‘Mattis Doctrine’ combined high-risk threats with aggressive
provocations,
bringing the US (and the world) to the brink of
nuclear war.
General Mattis has adopted the targets and fields of operations,
defined by the
previous Obama administration as it has sought to
re-enforce the existing imperialist
international order.
The junta’s policies relied on provocations and threats against
Russia, with
expanded economic sanctions. Mattis threw more fuel on
the US mass media’s already
hysterical anti-Russian bonfire. The
General promoted a strategy of low intensity
diplomatic thuggery,
including the unprecedented seizure and invasion of Russian
diplomatic offices and the short-notice expulsion of diplomats and
consular staff.
These military threats and acts of diplomatic
intimidation signified that the
Generals’ Administration under the
Puppet President Trump was ready to sunder
diplomatic relations with
a major world nuclear power and indeed push the world to
direct
nuclear confrontation.
What Mattis seeks in these mad fits of
aggression is nothing less than capitulation
on the part of the
Russian government regarding long held US military objectives –
namely the partition of Syria (which started under Obama), harsh
starvation sanctions on
North Korea (which began under Clinton) and
the disarmament of Iran (Tel Aviv’s main
goal) in preparation for
its dismemberment.
The Mattis junta occupying the Trump White House heightened its
threats against
a North Korea, which (in Vladimir Putin’s words)
‘would rather eat grass than disarm’.
The US mass media-military
megaphones portrayed the North Korean victims of US
sanctions and
provocations as an ‘existential’ threat to the US mainland.
Sanctions have intensified. The stationing of nuclear weapons on
South Korea is
being pushed. Massive joint military exercises are
planned and ongoing in the air, sea
and land around North Korea.
Mattis twisted Chinese arms (mainly business comprador
linked
bureaucrats) and secured their UN Security Council vote on increased
sanctions.
Russia joined the Mattis-led anti-Pyongyang chorus, even
as Putin warned of sanctions
ineffectiveness! (As if General ‘Mad
Dog’ Mattis would ever take Putin’s advice
seriously, especially
after Russia voted for the sanctions!).
Mattis further militarized the Persian Gulf, following Obama’s policy
of partial
sanctions and bellicose provocation against Iran.
When he worked for Obama, Mattis increased US arms shipments to the
US’s
Syrian terrorists and Ukrainian puppets, ensuring the US would
be able to scuttle any
‘negotiated settlements’.
Militarization: An Evaluation
Trump’s resort to ‘his Generals’ is supposed to counter any attacks
from members
of his own party and Congressional Democrats about his
foreign policy. Trump’s
appointment of ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis, a notorious
Russophobe and warmonger, has
somewhat pacified the opposition in
Congress and undercut any ‘finding’ of an election
conspiracy
between Trump and Moscow dug up by the Special Investigator Robert
Mueller. Trump’s maintains a role as nominal President by adapting to
what Obama
warned him was ‘their international order’ - now directed
by an unelected military junta
composed of Obama holdovers!
The Generals provide a veneer of legitimacy to the Trump regime
(especially for
the warmongering Obama Democrats and the mass
media). However, handing
presidential powers over to ‘Mad Dog’
Mattis and his cohort will come with a heavy
price.
While the military junta may protect Trump’s foreign policy flank, it
does not
lessen the attacks on his domestic agenda. Moreover,
Trump’s proposed budget
compromise with the Democrats has enraged
his own Party’s leaders.
In sum, under a weakened President Trump, the militarization of the
White House
benefits the military junta and enlarges their power. The
‘Mad Dog’ Mattis program has
had mixed results, at least in its
initial phase: The junta’s threats to launch a pre-emptive
(possibly
nuclear) war against North Korea have strengthened Pyongyang’s
commitment
to develop and refine its long and medium range ballistic
missile capability and nuclear
weapons. Brinksmanship failed to
intimidate North Korea. Mattis cannot impose the
Clinton-Bush-Obama
doctrine of disarming countries (like Libya and Iraq) of their
advanced defensive weapons systems as a prelude to a US ‘regime change’
invasion.
Any US attack against North Korea will lead to massive
retaliatory strikes costing
tens of thousands of US military lives
and will kill and maim millions of civilians in
South Korea and
Japan.
At most, ‘Mad Dog’ managed to intimidate Chinese and Russian
officials (and
their export business billionaire buddies) to agree
to more economic sanctions against
North Korea. Mattis and his
allies in the UN and White House, the loony Nikki Hailey
and a
miniaturized President Trump, may bellow war - yet they cannot apply the
so
called ‘military option’ without threatening the US military
forces stationed throughout
the Asia Pacific region.
The Mad Dog Mattis assault on the Russian embassy did not materially
weaken
Russia, but it has revealed the uselessness of Moscow’s
conciliatory diplomacy toward
their so-called ‘partners’ in the
Trump regime.
The end-result might lead to a formal break in diplomatic ties, which
would
increase the danger of a military confrontation and a global
nuclear holocaust.
The military junta is pressuring China against
North Korea with the goal of
isolating the ruling regime in
Pyongyang and increasing the US military encirclement of
Beijing.
Mad Dog has partially succeeded in turning China against North Korea
while
securing its advanced THADD anti-missile installations in
South Korea, which will be
directed against Beijing. These are
Mattis’ short-term gains over the excessively pliant
Chinese
bureaucrats. However, if Mad Dog intensifies direct military threats
against
China, Beijing can retaliate by dumping tens of billions of
US Treasury notes, cutting
trade ties, sowing chaos in the US
economy and setting Wall Street against the Pentagon.
Mad Dog’s
military build-up, especially in Afghanistan and in the Middle East,
will not intimidate Iran nor add to any military successes. They entail
high costs and low
returns, as Obama realized after the better part
of a decade of his defeats, fiascos and
multi-billion dollar losses.
Conclusion
The militarization of US foreign policy, the establishment of a
military junta
within the Trump Administration, and the resort to
nuclear brinksmanship has not
changed the global balance of power.
Domestically Trump’s nominal Presidency relies on militarists, like
General
Mattis. Mattis has tightened the US control over NATO
allies, and even rounded up stray
European outliers, like Sweden, to
join in a military crusade against Russia. Mattis has
played on the
media’s passion for bellicose headlines and its adulation of Four Star
Generals.
But for all that – North Korea remains undaunted because it can
retaliate. Russia has
thousands of nuclear weapons and remains a
counterweight to a US-dominated globe.
China owns the US Treasury
and its unimpressed, despite the presence of an increasingly
collision-prone US Navy swarming throughout the South China Sea.
Mad Dog laps up the media attention, with well dressed, scrupulously
manicured
journalists hanging on his every bloodthirsty
pronouncement. War contractors flock to
him, like flies to carrion.
The Four Star General ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis has attained
Presidential
status without winning any election victory (fake or otherwise). No
doubt
when he steps down, Mattis will be the most eagerly courted
board member or senior
consultant for giant military contractors in
US history, receiving lucrative fees for half
hour ‘pep-talks’ and
ensuring the fat perks of nepotism for his family’s next three
generations. Mad Dog may even run for office, as Senator or even
President for whatever
Party.
The militarization of US foreign policy provides some
important lessons:
First of all, the escalation from threats to war does not succeed in
disarming
adversaries who possess the capacity to retaliate.
Intimidation via sanctions can succeed
in imposing significant
economic pain on oil export-dependent regimes, but not on
hardened,
self-sufficient or highly diversified economies.
Low intensity multi-lateral war maneuvers reinforce US-led alliances,
but they
also convince opponents to increase their military
preparedness. Mid-level intense wars
against non-nuclear adversaries
can seize capital cities, as in Iraq, but the occupier faces
long-term costly wars of attrition that can undermine military morale,
provoke domestic
unrest and heighten budget deficits. And they
create millions of refugees.
High intensity military brinksmanship
carries major risk of massive losses in
lives, allies, territory and
piles of radiated ashes – a pyrrhic victory!
In sum:
Threats and intimidation succeed only against conciliatory
adversaries.
Undiplomatic verbal thuggery can arouse the spirit of
the bully and some of its allies, but
it has little chance of
convincing its adversaries to capitulate. The US policy of
worldwide
militarization over-extends the US armed forces and has not led to any
permanent military gains.
Are there any voices among clear-thinking US military leaders, those
not
bedazzled by their stars and idiotic admirers in the US media,
who could push for more
global accommodation and mutual respect
among nations? The US Congress and the
corrupt media are
demonstrably incapable of evaluating past disasters, let alone forging
an effective response to new global realities.
***
Share the link of this article with your facebook friends