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Public Sector Banks:
From Black Sheep to
Global Leaders
Once the black sheep of high finance, government
owned banks can reassure depositors about the safety of their savings and
can help maintain a focus on productive investment in a world in which
effective financial regulation remains more of an aspiration than a reality.
--
Centre for Economic Policy Research,
VoxEU.org
(January 2010) Public sector banking is a concept that is relatively
unknown in the United States.
Only one state—North Dakota—owns its own bank.
North Dakota is also the only state to escape the credit crisis of
2008, sporting a budget surplus every year since; but skeptics write this
off to coincidence or other factors.
The common perception is that government bureaucrats are bad
businessmen. To determine
whether government-owned banks are assets or liabilities, then, we need to
look farther afield. When we remove our myopic U.S. blinders, it turns out that globally, not only are publicly-owned banks quite common but that countries with strong public banking sectors generally have strong, stable economies. According to an Inter-American Development Bank paper presented in 2005, the percentage of state ownership in the banking industry globally by the mid-nineties was over 40 percent.[i] The BRIC countries—Brazil, Russia, India, and China—contain nearly three billion of the world’s seven billion people, or 40% of the global population. The BRICs all make heavy use of public sector banks, which compose about 75% of the banks in India, 69% or more in China, 45% in Brazil, and 60% in Russia. The BRICs have been the main locus of world economic
growth in the last decade.
China Daily
reports, “Between 2000 and 2010, BRIC's GDP grew by an incredible 92.7
percent, compared to a global GDP growth of just 32 percent, with
industrialized economies having a very modest 15.5 percent.” All the leading banks in the BRIC half of the globe are state-owned. In fact the largest banks globally are state-owned, including: · The two largest banks by market capitalization (ICBC and China Construction Bank) · The largest bank by deposits (Japan Post Bank) · The largest bank by assets (Royal Bank of Scotland, now nationalized) · The world’s largest development bank (BNDES in Brazil).
A
May 2010 article in
The Economist noted that the strong
and stable publicly-owned banks of India, China and Brazil helped those
countries weather the banking crisis afflicting most of the rest of the
world in the last few years.
According to Professor Kurt von Mettenheim of the Sao Paulo Business
School of Brazil: Government banks provided counter cyclical credit and policy options to counter the effects of the recent financial crisis, while realizing competitive advantage over private and foreign banks. Greater client confidence and official deposits reinforced liability base and lending capacity. The credit policies of BRIC government banks help explain why these countries experienced shorter and milder economic downturns during 2007-2008.
Surprising Findings In a 2010 research paper summarized on VoxEU.org, economists Svetlana Andrianova, et al., wrote that the post-2008 nationalization of a number of very large banks, including the Royal Bank of Scotland, “offers an opportune moment to reduce the political power of bankers and to carry out much needed financial reforms.” But “there are concerns that governments may be unable to run nationalised banks efficiently.” Not to worry, say the authors: Follow-on research we have carried out (Andrianova et al, 2009) . . . shows that government ownership of banks has, if anything, been robustly associated with higher long run growth rates. Using data from a large number of countries for
1995-2007, we find that, other things equal, countries with high degrees of
government ownership of banking have grown faster than countries with little
government ownership of banks. We show that this finding is robust to a
battery of econometric tests. Expanding on this theme in their research paper, the
authors write: While many countries in continental Europe, including
Germany and France, have had a fair amount of experience with
government-owned banks, the UK and the USA have found themselves in
unfamiliar territory. It is therefore perhaps not surprising that there is
deeply ingrained hostility in these countries towards the notion that
governments can run banks effectively. . . . Hostility towards
government-owned banks reflects the hypothesis . . . that these banks are
established by politicians who use them to shore up their power by
instructing them to lend to political supporters and government-owned
enterprises. In return, politicians receive votes and other favours. This
hypothesis also postulates that politically motivated banks make bad lending
decisions, resulting in non-performing loans, financial fragility and slower
growth.
But that is not what the data of these researchers
showed: [W]e have found that . . . countries with
government-owned banks have, on average, grown faster than countries with no
or little government ownership of banks. . . . This is, of course, a
surprising result, especially in light of the widespread belief—typically
supported by anecdotal evidence—that ‘… bureaucrats are generally bad
bankers’ . . . . What accounts for their surprising findings?
The authors provide a novel explanation: We suggest that politicians may actually prefer banks
not to be in the public sector. . . . Conditions of weak corporate
governance in banks provide fertile ground for quick enrichment for both
bankers and politicians – at the expense ultimately of the taxpayer. In such
circumstances politicians can offer bankers a system of weak regulation in
exchange for party political contributions, positions on the boards of banks
or lucrative consultancies.
Activities that are more likely to provide both sides with quick returns are
the more speculative ones, especially if they are sufficiently opaque as not
to be well understood by the shareholders such as complex derivatives
trading. Government owned banks, on the other hand, have less
freedom to engage in speculative strategies that result in quick enrichment
for bank insiders and politicians. Moreover, politicians tend to be held
accountable for wrongdoings or bad management in the public sector but are
typically only indirectly blamed, if at all, for the misdemeanours of
private banks. It is the shareholders who are expected to prevent these but
lack of transparency and weak governance stops them from doing so in
practice. On the other hand, when it comes to banks that are in the public
sector, democratic accountability of politicians is more likely to
discourage them from engaging in speculation. In such banks, top managers
are more likely to be compelled to focus on the more mundane job of
financing real businesses and economic growth.
The BRICs as a Global
Power Focusing on the financing of real businesses and economic growth seems to be the secret of the BRICs, which are leading the world in economic development today. But the BRIC phenomenon is more than just a growth trend identified by an economist. It is now an international organization, an alliance of countries representing the common interests and goals of its members. The first BRIC meeting, held in 2008, was called a triumph for former Russian President Vladimir Putin’s policy of promoting multilateral arrangements that would challenge the United States’ concept of a unipolar world. The BRIC countries had their first official summit and became a formal organization in Yekaterinburg, Russia, in 2009. They met in Brazil in 2010 and in China in 2011, and they will meet in India in 2012. In 2010, at China’s invitation, South Africa joined the group, making it “BRICS” and adding a strategic presence on the African continent. The BRICS seek more voice in the United Nations,
the IMF, and the World Bank.
They are even discussing their own
multicultural bank to fund projects within their own nations, in direct
competition with the IMF.
They oppose the dollar as global reserve
currency.
After the Yekaterinburg summit, they
called for a new
global reserve currency, one that was diversified, stable and predictable;
and they have the clout to get it.
According to Liam
Halligan, writing in The U.K. Telegraph: The BRICs account for . . . around three-quarters of total currency reserves. They have few serious fiscal issues and all are net external creditors. Western financial interests have long fought to maintain the dollar as global reserve currency, but they are losing that battle, despite economic and military coercion. Russia, China and India are now nuclear powers. The BRICS will have to be negotiated with, and the first step to forming a working relationship is to understand how their economies work.
Written for the
Public Banking in America
Conference April 27-28th, Philadelphia.
Ellen Brown is an
attorney and president of the Public Banking Institute,
http://PublicBankingInstitute.org.
In Web of Debt,
her latest of eleven books, she shows how a private cartel has
usurped the power to create money from the people themselves, and
how we the people can get it back. Her websites are
http://WebofDebt.com and
http://EllenBrown.com. |
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