|
Al-Jazeerah, News |
|||
|
Human Price of the Israeli Occupation of Palestine Israeli daily aggression on the Palestinian people Mission and meaning of Al-Jazeerah Cities, localities, and tourist attractions
|
-
WASHINGTON, 27 February 2003 — The Pentagon has sharply increased the
estimated cost of a war in Iraq to as much as $95 billion for the combat
phase and immediate aftermath, with huge reconstruction and occupation
costs to come later, administration and congressional officials said
Tuesday. The officials said Defense Department planners are pegging the cost of
the expected war at $60 billion to $95 billion. The long-term expense of
occupying and rebuilding Iraq, as well as providing post-war humanitarian
relief to as many as 2 million refugees, would be added to those costs,
resulting in a marked increase in the $300 billion budget deficit the
administration had projected for each of the next two years. Until now, administration officials have provided only vague estimates
of the cost of a war with Iraq. President Bush’s aides have said the
only benchmark they could offer was the cost of the 1991 Gulf War, which
was $61.1 billion, excluding reconstruction costs, or $82.5 billion in
current dollars. Five weeks ago, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld told reporters that
the administration was estimating the cost of a possible war at “under
$50 billion.” Now, several officials said they are working with an
estimate of $80 billion just for the Pentagon, plus foreign aid and other
expenses. The new figures provide a measure of vindication for Bush’s
former economic adviser, Lawrence Lindsey, who put the figure at $100
billion to $200 billion last fall, only to have other administration
officials ridicule his estimate as excessive. Bush met Tuesday with Rumsfeld and the White House budget director,
Mitchell E. Daniels Jr., to discuss the matter. A Republican official
called the estimate “dollar-rattling by the Pentagon” and said Bush
will work to reduce the number. Officials said the Office of Management and Budget, which Daniels
heads, has been working on war estimates for at least five months. The
scenarios being considered include such specific provisions as rebuilding
2,500 Iraqi schools, if necessary. With diplomacy continuing,
administration spokespeople said that Bush has made no final decisions and
that any specific figures were speculative. White House officials still expect a speedy war, with estimates ranging
from one to six weeks. But with deployments nearing their crest and final
planning underway, the expected tab has risen. One reason, administration
officials said, is that other countries in the region are following
Turkey’s lead and demanding more US aid to cover their possible
war-related costs. One official said the United States will be asked to
increase assistance to Israel, Jordan, Egypt, Pakistan and perhaps other
countries. Military analysts said many of the costs are unknowable, such as
possible decontamination requirements if Iraqi President Saddam Hussein
launched chemical or biological weapons. “There could be massive,
incalculable costs associated with Saddam lashing out against other
countries, such as Israel, or pursuing a scorched-earth policy against his
own people,” said Daniel Goure, a vice president at the Lexington
Institute, a defense-oriented think tank. About 80 percent of the 1991 Gulf War’s cost was borne by US allies.
Administration officials said they expect the United States to pay most of
the cost of a war in Iraq, although they would expect other countries to
help with building a democratic Iraq after a war. A senior administration official said more than two dozen countries —
out of 191 UN member states — have agreed to provide assistance,
including troops, expertise, political support or donations to
humanitarian groups. Rumsfeld told Congress early this month that the Pentagon had spent
$2.1 billion so far on the buildup. Administration officials had considered sending a supplemental budget
request to Congress before an invasion to cover such expenses as the
shelters, food and medicine for refugees that have been shipped to four
countries in the Gulf region so the supplies would be ready for delivery
right behind the military. Now, officials say that when hostilities began, Bush would send
Congress a request that included both Pentagon costs and about one year of
resources for humanitarian and reconstruction agencies.
Opinions expressed in various sections are the sole responsibility of their authors and they may not represent Al-Jazeerah's.
|