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Iraq accepts new UN
resolution, Prince Saud says
Arab News
CAIRO/WASHINGTON, 10 November 2002 — Saudi Foreign Minister Prince
Saud Al-Faisal said yesterday that Baghdad had accepted the United
Nation’s new resolution on Iraqi disarmament after obtaining assurances
from UN Security Council member Syria, that the resolution did not foresee
automatic recourse to military action. “The Arab ministers welcomed
Iraq’s acceptance of Resolution 1441, following assurances from Syria
that this resolution does not provide for automatic military action
(against Baghdad),” the minister told reporters in Cairo.
He was speaking after a meeting of Arab League foreign ministers at the
League’s headquarters in the Egyptian capital. The ministers are due to
hold an extraordinary meeting today.
Earlier yesterday, Iraq put a brave face on the passing of the UN
resolution giving it a last chance to disarm, insisting that the
international community had thereby foiled a US plot to wage war. But
there was no immediate sign Baghdad would automatically bow to a document
threatening “serious consequences” unless it opens its territory to
tough new weapons inspections. It has one week to comply, and the clock
began ticking on Friday.
“Iraq will study the resolution then take the appropriate position on
it,” Iraqi Foreign Minister Naji Sabri said in Cairo, after meeting
Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Maher. “The United States’ use of the
Security Council as a cover for aggression against Iraq was foiled by the
international community because the international community does not share
the appetite of the evil administration in Washington for aggression,
murder and destruction.”
US President George W. Bush, in contrast, claimed the passage of the
resolution after eight weeks of tortuous negotiation at the UN as
vindication of his uncompromising policy on Iraq. “The world has now
come together to say that the outlaw regime in Iraq will not be permitted
to build or possess chemical, biological or nuclear weapons,” Bush said
in a weekly radio address. “And my administration will see to it that
the world’s judgment is enforced.” Co-sponsored by the United States
and Britain, the resolution was agreed after France, Russia and others
persuaded Washington to remove from its wording an explicit authorization
to use force and a call to back UN inspectors with troops. The
document’s ambiguity allows all sides to call it victory.
US officials emphasized that nothing in it prevented them from taking
military action, but Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov said it had
“made a real threat of war go away”. US Secretary of State Colin
Powell called Maher and other Arab officials to ask them to impress on
Iraq that the resolution was a “final opportunity”.
In an interview, Powell again hinted that Saddam’s government might
be allowed to survive — further evidence of Washington’s apparent
shift from a position earlier this year which seemed to offer the Iraqi
president no future but overthrow through “regime change”.
“If the Iraqi regime got rid of its mass destruction weapons and
cooperates with inspectors, this will be considered a full change in the
regime,” Powell told Al-Jazeera television.
Arab foreign ministers in Cairo said yesterday they were working to
secure Iraq’s acceptance of the new resolution on disarmament to save
the Middle East from another conflict.
“Arab diplomacy, which managed in September to convince Iraq to
accept a return of weapons inspectors, will continue to work for continued
cooperation between Iraq and the United Nations,” Lebanese Foreign
Minister Mahmoud Hammud told reporters after talks with Arab League chief
Amr Moussa.
Hammud said earlier the two-day meeting at League headquarters in Cairo
was taking place “because of a number of developments that require a
position emphasizing Arab solidarity.” (Agencies)
US sounds out Arabs on regional tensions
Hammoud heads for Cairo
Khalil Fleihan
Daily Star correspondent
US ambassadors are moving to sound out the positions of the region’s
governments ahead of Sunday’s extraordinary meeting of Arab foreign
ministers in Cairo, which will be convened to discuss the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict and a possible American war against Iraq,
diplomatic sources said Friday.
The two issues will also be the focus of bilateral talks between various
Arab ministers at their hotel suites in Cairo and at the offices of
Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmad Maher and Arab League Secretary-General
Amr Moussa. According to the sources, US ambassadors to leading Arab
states have made urgent contacts with the area’s foreign ministries,
giving the impression that Washington is very interested in the
gathering’s outcome.
The United States hopes the ministers will not adopt a position hostile to
it or take any extreme measures now that US President George W. Bush has
set no time limit for Iraq’s disarmament. The move is believed to be an
attempt to prompt Baghdad’s cooperation with the new arms inspection
system.
The sources said America hoped that the ministers, along with Arab
Follow-Up Committee members, convening in Cairo on the eve of the meeting,
would refrain from indicating support for Iraq that would embarrass allied
Arab states.
“The US is also interested in Arab ministers’ understanding the
purpose of the road map pertaining to the Middle East and about which the
‘Quartet’ is holding consultations with the concerned countries
preliminary to its approval next month,” the sources added.
They indicated that America and other members of the Quartet Russia,
the European Union and the UN did not consider the road map to be a
substitute for the Arab Peace Initiative or the relevant UN resolutions,
but a means to achieve the desired goal.
The United States also believes the new ministers in Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon’s government, particularly Foreign Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, will not constitute an obstacle to the new initiative,
the sources said.
Foreign Minister Mahmoud Hammoud is due to hold talks with Maher and
Moussa immediately after arriving in Cairo Saturday. He will later meet
other foreign ministers in an effort to help coordinate various Arab
positions.
l US Ambassador Vincent Battle said Friday that a large delegation from
the US House of Representatives and Senate would visit Lebanon next week
to meet with officials.
Speaking to reporters following talks with Hammoud, Battle said that among
the topics earmarked for discussion by members of the delegation was
economic cooperation between Lebanon and the United States.
“The Congress is extremely interested in all issues related to the
Middle East,” he said.
Battle and hammoud also discussed the issue of the Wazzani Springs water
dispute with Israel and what US water expert Charles Lawson did in Lebanon
and Israel during his just-completed mission.
Missile
attack angers Yemen opposition
By Nasser Arrabyee, Gulf
News, 10-11-2002
The U.S. admission that it was behind the attack that killed six Al Qaida
suspects in Yemen last Monday has provoked backlashes among many Yemenis,
particularly the tribal areas.
The government tightened security measures around foreign embassies,
especially the U.S. embassy as a precaution against retaliatory
strikes.
Though the government kept silent over the U.S. declaration that the CIA
was behind the attack, the opposition expressed their displeasure and
anger calling the attack a "dangerous precedent" that
violated Yemeni sovereignty.
"We are waiting for the government to present a complete
clarification about what happened and any delay in revealing the truth
will be considered lack of responsibility," said Abdul Wahab Al Ansi,
assistant secretary general of Islah, the largest opposition party.
Al Ansi criticised the authorities for not being transparent enough.
He said: "The security bodies try to keep the public away from the
issues that concern them. If they continue dealing with public issues this
way, nobody will agree with them."
Adul Ghani Adul Qader, chairman of the political circle of the socialist
opposition party said "it is unfortunate that our sovereignty has
been touched by military action of the first class, it should have been
done by our government not by any other country."
"We are against despising the sovereignty of the country, and if this
continues, the public opinion will have to determine its attitude,"
Abdul Qader said.
"If Marib incident is proved to have been carried out by American
forces, then that will be flagrant violation of Yemeni
sovereignty," confirmed Abdul Malik Al Mekhlafi, secretary general of
the Nasserite Unionist Party.
"The opposition will take a strong attitude towards this dangerous
operation, and if the Yemeni-American military cooperation is harmful to
the nation, then the electoral platforms of the opposition parties will,
no doubt, be against this cooperation," Al Mekhlafi stressed.
Dr Faris Al Saqaff, chairman of the Future Studies Centre said "It
seems the Americans have their own agenda and their own policy in dealing
with such issues, they wanted to tell the American public and the regimes
in the region they have achieved a triumph in the hunt of
terrorists."
But, he added, the announcement of the operation without coordination with
Yemen had caused embarrassment for Sanaa.
"It is clear that the U.S. coordination with Sanaa has not reached
the degree that considers the Yemeni sovereignty or the system in
Yemen," Al Saqaff said.
The Yemeni cabinet in its weekly meeting on Tuesday neither
confirmed nor denied the news that a U.S. Hellfire missile from CIA drone
hit the car.
It said only it had listened to a clarification from minister of interior
about the incident of the car in Marib in which six Al Qaida suspects were
killed and that preliminary information suggest that Ali Qaed Senan Al
Harithy, who is accused of having committed sabotage acts,was among them.
Later, senior security official were quoted as saying "the five men
killed with the socalled Ali Qaed Senan Al Harithy, Abu Ali, in the
incident of the car explosion in Marib, are from among the dangerous Al
Qaida operatives and they are wanted by the security bodies."
Those elements have participated in planning and implementing sabotage
acts, including Cole attack, which harmed the national interests of Yemen,
the official said.
He made it clear that security forces are continuing their search for
Mohammed Hamdi Al Ahdal, Abu Assem key Al Qaida suspect, and the second
man wanted by the authorities.
The official revealed the names of the five associates killed with Abu
Ali, Saleh Abu Hamam, Al Keka, Abu Al Jarah, Munair and Jalal who is
nicknamed as Ahmed Hejazi. "Ahmed Hejazi is believed to have had the
American citizenship," the official said.
Meanwhile, the United States welcomed President Saleh's speech in which
the president repeatedly rejected all forms of terror.
"The U.S. still believes that combating terrorism in Yemen is the
responsibility of the Yemeni government and U.S. will keep supporting
those efforts," says a press release issued by the U.S. embassy in
Sanaa.
President Saleh had called the Yemeni involved in Al Qaida network to
declare their repentance and give up their styles which greatly harm the
national economy and undermine security and stability and offend the
reputation of the nation.
Palestinians fear UN action on Iraq is threat
to Arafat
By Justin Huggler
Arab News
GAZA CITY, 10 November 2002 — The Palestinian Authority feared
yesterday that Israel would seize on a UN resolution on disarming Iraq to
oust its leader, Yasser Arafat, as Israeli troops killed a top Palestinian
activist in a West Bank gunbattle. “There shouldn’t be an aggression
against Iraq ... we believe this UN Security Council resolution is
tantamount to preparing for a war,” chief Palestinian Authority
negotiator Saeb Erekat told reporters.
“Israel will use it to physically hurt, kill or remove President
Arafat as announced by Israel’s foreign minister and to destroy the
peace process and the Palestinian Authority,” he added.
Newly appointed Foreign Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said earlier this
week that a US strike on Iraq would “enable us to get rid of Saddam
Hussein and provide a good opportunity to get rid of Arafat.” Netanyahu,
who favors the expulsion of Arafat from the Palestinian territories, made
no mention of killing or hurting the Palestinian leader.
His comments were in contrast with the more cautious policy of Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon, his Likud party rival for the top job in upcoming
elections.
Referring to the prospect of a new conflict in the Middle East, Erekat
said “the region doesn’t need more wars, destructions and devastation
... the region is in dire need of stability and peace.” The 15-member
Security Council unanimously passed Friday Resolution 1441 to send UN
inspectors into Iraq and warned of “serious consequences” if Baghdad
fails to meet disarmament obligations.
Iraq now has seven days to accept what the Council called “a final
opportunity to comply with its disarmament obligations.” Israel on
Friday welcomed the vote, saying it showed the support of the
international community for the US position.
In the West Bank, meanwhile, Israeli troops killed a Jenin chief of the
armed branch of Islamic Jihad early yesterday, Palestinian and Israeli
security sources said. Iyad Sawalha, 32, was killed during a battle that
lasted an hour after soldiers surrounded the house he was in, the
Palestinian sources said.
An Israeli statement confirmed Sawalha’s death, accusing him of
responsibility for attacks on buses that claimed the lives of 31 people
and were claimed by the Al-Qods Brigades, the armed wing of the
Palestinian radical movement.
Following the second attack, the Israeli Army reoccupied the city and
refugee camp of Jenin, failing to find Sawalha but arresting 165 wanted
Palestinians. They finally tracked him down yesterday, holed up in a house
in Jenin with his wife, and called on him to surrender, the Israeli
statement said.
Meanwhile, representatives of Arafat’s Fatah movement left Ramallah
for Cairo yesterday for new talks with Hamas, but analysts held out little
hope the Islamic group would agree to halt its attacks against Israel. The
Fatah delegation, headed by central committee member Zakaraia Al-Agha, was
due to meet the head of Hamas’ politburo, Khaled Meshaal, today, for
Egyptian-brokered talks.
A previous European-sponsored dialogue came close to agreeing a halt to
attacks on Israeli civilians but was broken off after the death of Hamas’
military leader, Salah Shehade, in a July air raid on Gaza City. The
agenda for the new talks included “ways of fighting the Israeli
occupation, Hamas’ participation in Palestinian elections and in
institutions of the Palestine Liberation Organization,” said Fatah
official Samir Al-Mashrawi, whom Israel barred from attending the talks at
the last minute.
“We know it will be difficult to reach an agreement at the
meeting’s onset but the current situation and the challenges we are
facing are such that they justify this dialogue, which be a long one,”
said he. “We need to be firm but we are going there with an open mind.
Our brothers in Hamas told us they were in the same state of mind.” (The
Independent)
Israel, US plan joint missile exercises
Goal is to intercept incoming weapons before they land
Compiled by Daily Star staff
JERUSALEM: Israel and the United States plan a joint exercise in
January on intercepting ballistic missiles, the Israeli Defense Ministry
said Friday.
The Israeli daily Haaretz said the drill would take place in Israel unless
the United States has attacked Iraq by then.
Israeli officials claim there is a high probability that Iraq will attack
Israel with Scud missiles in response to a US strike.
Rachel Ashkenazi, spokeswoman for Israel’s Defense Ministry, said the
exercise is part of cooperation between armed forces from both countries.
Haaretz said large air-defense units from both countries would participate
in the war games, and that the United States would leave behind three
upgraded Patriot missile batteries to help boost Israel’s anti-missile
defenses.
Ashkenazi confirmed that Israel’s test-firing of two Patriots earlier
this week was successful. On Thursday, the Israeli Air Force presented
Arrow anti-missile batteries to reporters as part of a public relations
blitz aimed at discouraging Saddam Hussein from firing his Scuds.
“The Arrow will intercept any missile that will threaten Israel or the
borders of Israel,” Brigadier General Yair Dori, who heads Israel’s
air-defense system, told reporters during the display.
“Since 1991 we have built a huge active defense system that will give
Israel the ability to survive and make civilians feel safe in the next
conflict,” he said at a rare demonstration of the Arrow system.
“The system can differentiate any kind of tactical ballistic missile and
can intercept it,” he said. “We have all heard Saddam Hussein’s
declarations about Israel and Zionism; I am sure he wants to bring Israel
into the conflict,” Dori said. “We are sure we are better prepared.”
With the deployment of the first battery of Arrows in March 2000, Israel
became the first country to have a purpose-built anti-ballistic missile
capability.
The Arrow can fly at 50 kilometers and has a range of 100 kilometers,
giving it a “footprint” which far outstrips the US Patriot missile,
which was used with limited success during the 1991 Gulf War. The Patriot
has since been significantly upgraded and improved.
According to senior air force sources, Israel successfully launched two
Patriot missiles in its southern desert region earlier this week following
a complex software upgrade that improves the link between the missile and
the radar. And now, by interfacing the Arrow and Patriot missile systems
and making them interoperable, Israel has constructed a multi-layer
defense system, the general said.
“The Arrow is a system for weapons which come into the atmosphere. The
Patriot is the second layer, which will deal with (ballistic missiles)
that come into an altitude of 15 to 20 kilometers,” Dori said.
“We’re talking about two layers … which is all the defense we need
to confront the threat.”
Israel claims the system can knock out a missile two to three minutes
after it is launched. A missile launched from western Iraq would take
seven to eight minutes to reach Israel.
The Arrow is part of Israel’s Homa project, designed to counter missiles
capable of striking Israel from Iran, Iraq and Syria. From its start in
1988 to its deployment in March 2000, the program has cost more than $2.2
billion, over half of which was paid for by the US.
The Arrow system, which is deployed at two locations in Israel, can be
operated locally or remotely, and each launcher unit can hold up to six
missiles, officials said, without specifying how many Israel has.
A senior air force source was quoted by Agence France-Presse as saying
Israel had improved its capability to detect incoming ballistic missiles
by more than 70 percent since the Gulf War.
“In 1991 we had almost nothing, so we started building an active
defense, and after 10 years we’re got a very robust two-layer
defense,” he said. “I’m sure that less missiles will fall into
Israel. I want to believe that nothing will fall here.”
Back then, there were problems with the early-warning system, which was
slow because it was routed through US satellite systems. Now, with its own
upgraded radar system, Israel does not have to rely on US satellites,
which significantly cuts the early-warning time, he said. Agencies
Shiite leader sees flaws in US peace
proposal
The Daily Star
A leading Shiite cleric on Friday criticized the US road map
for regional peace, saying it neglected UN resolutions, the Arab Peace
Initiative and Israeli aggressions against the Palestinian people.
The vice-president of the Higher Shiite Council, Sheikh Abdel-Amir Qabalan,
made the comments during a Friday sermon at al-Imam Hussein Bin Ali Mosque
in Bourj al-Barajneh.
Qabalan said those who lacked reason were “accusing us of terrorism,
overlooking the one who occupies the land, violates a country’s airspace
and territorial waters and steals its water resources,” a reference to
the Wazzani Springs dispute.
The cleric also called on worshippers of all confessions to overcome
hatred and work for love and unity during the holy month of Ramadan.
Khamenei representative lashes out at
West
The Daily Star
A representative of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, says
the West in general and the United States in particular are playing games
with the Arabs.
“Conspiracies are increasing against us and they will not leave us
alone,” Sheikh Mohammad Yazbek said Friday at a remembrance service in
Baalbek.
He said moves associated with the “Paris II” donor conference and the
frequent tours were pointless and would lead to nothing.
“What about the latest trip (by Prime Minister Rafik Hariri) to the
United States? What was the response?” he asked.
He added that US President George W. Bush was disregarding the sovereignty
of other countries “when he launches wars on Iraq and sends pilotless
airplanes to assassinate people in Yemen.”
French journalist decries ‘Zionist’ tactics
Reporters face pressure in Arab-Israeli conflict
Long-time writer for leading papers says his criticism got him
blackballed
Badih Chayban
Special to The Daily Star, 11/10/02
A
visiting French journalist told a Beirut audience Friday that he was
blackballed by media outlets in France for his criticism of Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon’s government.
Speaking at a news conference at the Press Federation headquarters in
Beirut, Alain Chevalerias described his unhappy experience as a journalist
covering the Middle East, while facing what he described as “Zionist
pressure.”
Chevalerias, who has worked as a freelance journalist for many French
publications over the last 30 years, said he had been recently stringent
in his criticism of Israel and the Sharon government.
In addition to his articles appearing in print in a variety of journals,
Chevalerias has also made regular radio appearances and conducted
university seminars. He said that while he was covering the Arab League
summit in Beirut last March, he reported that Sharon’s policies were
designed to undermine the summit’s decisions, including the Arab Peace
Initiative.
Although editors changed his articles before they were printed,
Chevalerias said that, at the time, he did not suspect a conspiracy. But
then he added that, at the beginning of last summer, the leading French
daily, Le Figaro, suddenly stopped publishing his articles.
“I thought it was normal, until a friend called me and said, ‘Don’t
touch Israel, leave it for others. You are now punished,’” Chevalerias
said.
The freeze on his work extended not only to the journals Chevalerias used
to write for, but reached a group of lawyers he freelanced for.
“Suddenly, on June 26, I received a letter putting an end to (this
business) relationship,” Chevalerias said.
In blaming supporters of Israel for his professional misfortunes, he said
there was a difference between “Jews” and “Zionists. He said the
“Zionists” were the ones trying to silence him, whereas many of his
Jewish friends were helping him try to get his jobs back.
Chevalerias said that it was hard for a French national, who was raised on
the logic of freedom of expression, to be ostracized for his opinions:
“I felt abused and angry,” he said.
He added that he had applied on multiple occasions for reinstatement at Le
Figaro, but that he has had no luck.
Frustrated in his efforts, Chevalerias began a hunger strike on Sept. 24.
“I used to sit on a public road in Paris every day,” he said, adding
that the move garnered him public support.
He said that this public backing eventually led the editors at Le Figaro
to invite him back.
Regarding the episode, he said he learned that, “even if saying the
truth is hard and has severe consequences, every journalist has the duty
to report not only what he sees, but also what he believes.”
Press Federation president Mohammed Baalbaki, who spoke during the news
conference, said that Chevalerias’ case was of crucial local importance,
because he shared the same enemy as the Lebanese public: the Zionists.
Baalbaki said that “Zionists” were active worldwide in “suppressing
free media and covering the truth.”
He added that this was harming not only the Arab cause, but also
international journalists seeking to report accurate information on the
Arab-Israeli conflict.
Palestinians to approve Mideast roadmap
Khaleej Times, 11/10/02
RAMALLAH - The Palestinian cabinet met on Sunday to provisionally
approve a peace "roadmap" drawn up by the top world officials,
as Israel scaled back its operations in Jenin after killing one of the
most wanted Palestinian men in the territories. Palestinian leader Yasser
Arafat and his cabinet were to approve the blueprint which provides for a
Palestinian state by 2005 but were also to insist that January elections
be presidential as well as legislative.
The cabinet was also set to reject US demands that Arafat appoint a
prime minister. The outline, which would allow for a de facto Palestinian
state to be established next year with temporary borders, says only that
legislative elections should be held next January. The Palestinians insist
that presidential elections, in which Arafat is tipped to be re-elected,
be held at the same time. Israel and Washington want to see Arafat dumped,
and fear early presidential polls could give him a new mandate.
The cabinet was also set to shun calls for a prime minister, a move
aimed at circumscribing Arafat's presidential powers after Washington
accused him of failing to prevent anti-Israeli attacks. "The issue of
the prime minister is an internal issue which will be decided after a
Palestinian state is established," said one Palestinian official who
asked not to named. The Palestinians also want to see clearly set-out
timetables and mechanisms allowing for a progression from one phase of the
plan to the next, as well as for UN observers to be deployed to oversee
the whole process.
The plan, based on a US blueprint, was drafted by the so-called Middle
East "quartet" made up of the United States, the United Nations,
the European Union and Russia, and was presented last month to regional
leaders by US envoy William Burns. Israel has expressed strong
reservations about the plan, which it fears could establish a Palestinian
state without the strict Palestinian security and administrative reforms
it insists have to be carried out before any progress can be made on the
peace front. Israeli Foreign Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who will face
off against Prime Minister Ariel Sharon in the right-wing Likud party's
primary elections on November 28, has openly slammed the plan and said it
will not be on the agenda until after an anticipated US war with Iraq.
Sharon has been more cautious in his criticism to avoid ruffling the
feathers of Israel's key US ally, although even his aides have expressed
strong concerns. Israel will hold its own general elections in January, in
which right-wing parties are tipped to come out on top. - AFP
Iranian MPs approve bill to boost Khatami's powers
Khaleej Times, 11/10/02
TEHRAN - Iran's reformist-held parliament on Sunday approved the
outlines of a bill to boost President Mohammad Khatami's powers by giving
him the right to suspend rulings by the judiciary, a conservative bastion
that has blocked his reform programme so far. At the end of a debate
carried live on state radio, deputies overwhelmingly approved steps that
will empower Khatami to suspend decisions by the hardline judciary or any
other institution as well as any "violation of the
constitution".
It was approved four days after the adoption of a first bill that would
stop a conservative-controlled oversight watchdog using a power that has
resulted in hundreds of reformers being disqualified from standing for
public office. However both are certain to be shot down by the same body,
the Guardians Council, which rules if legislation complies with the
constitution and Islamic sharia law, provoking a new crisis between the
reformist and conservative camps. - AFP
Zardari may
be sent to UK in 24 hours
By Abdullah Iqbal, Gulf
News, 10-11-2002
There is growing speculation that following the
arrival of Asif Ali Zardari, husband of PPP chairperson Benazir Bhutto in
Karachi from Islamabad, he may be placed aboard a plane leaving for
London within 24 hours.
It is understood, that Zardari will be sent to the UK for "medical
treatment" as part of a deal reached with the Pakistan People's Party
Parliamentarians.
With the Zardari 'deal' now being transformed into reality, it is however
unclear what the entire package includes and how this will affect
government formation.
Sources in Karachi say they have been "given to understand" that
Zardari will "very soon, may be even on Sunday" need to travel
abroad, and that his medical reports, travel documents etc should be
readily available.
Zaradri's move to Karachi took place according to reports after high-level
meetings between government officials and Benazir's husband at the
Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS), Islamabad.
It is learnt that two top officials and PPPP chief Makhdoom Amin Fahim
held a two-hour meeting with Zardari in the hospital on Thursday.
It is also learnt that during the meeting, Zardari agreed to visit London
for 15 days for a medical checkup, but "made it clear he would return
to Pakistan within a month."
Previously, Zardari had insisted he be permitted to remain within the
country and not be forced to go abroad. The new developments are said to
have come as a result of a breakthrough on this issue.
It is uncertain whether other key agreements form a part of this deal.
Zardari, on Friday, sent an important message to ARD chief Nawabzada
Nasrullah Khan, saying, "The PPP will remain an integral part of
Alliance for Restoration of Democracy and the alliance will not be
allowed to disintegrate."
This would appear to indicate that no PPP moves are afoot to join up with
the PML-QA, despite the deal on Zardari, but sources say, "There may
be far more going on than meets the eye, and nothing can be said
yet."
PPP officials in Lahore, meanwhile, seemed surprised over Zardari's
release, but stated "this shows the regime cannot ignore the party
after it capture so many votes."
PPP leaders now seem increasingly confident that the deal indicates that
this would mean a PML-QA-PPP government at the centre.
It is also understood the deal includes a dropping of cases against
Benazir, a key PPP demand, although as a 'face saving' arrangement, this
may not happen immediately. Zardari is still reluctant to leave the
country immediately, and wishes to do so after first visiting his
home-town in rural Sindh.
Speaking in Lahore, Faisel Saleh Hayat, a senior PPP leader who denied he
was leading any forward bloc, said "We are willing to sit with the
PMl-QA and cooperate with Musharraf. There should be no problem in this
and it has been sorted out within the party."
Sanctions
cost Iraq $222b in lost oil sales
By Nadim Kawach, Gulf News,
10-11-2002
A crippling Gulf war embargo imposed by the United Nations on Iraq more
than 10 years ago has cost the Arab country a staggering $222 billion in
loss of oil exports while it also suffered billions in damage to its crude
facilities, according to a former Iraqi Oil Minister.
The oil export losses were calculated on the basis of Iraq's oil
production before the 1990 Gulf war and average monthly crude prices since
its oil supplies were cut off on August 5, Fadil Chalabi told Gulf News by
telephone from London.
"From August 5, 1990, until the end of last October, we estimate that
Iraq lost nearly $222 billion in oil exports because of the embargo,"
said Chalabi, executive director of the London-based Centre for Global
Energy Studies (CGES), which is owned by former Saudi Oil Minister Sheikh
Ahmed Zaki Al Yamani.
"Our assumptions are based on its oil production and exports before
the Gulf war and average crude prices in each month during that
period...just imagine how big is such a loss and what would have happened
had these funds been channelled into development."
Iraq, the second biggest oil power in the world after Saudi Arabia,
produced around 3.5 million barrels per day (bpd) before the August 2
invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Its actual crude exports ranged between 2.6
and 2.8 million bpd.
Oil exports fetched the Arab country more than $20 billion annually in
peak years before its crude supplies came to a standstill during the Gulf
crisis.
It resumed crude supplies nearly five years ago under an oil-for-food
programme signed with the United Nations to ensure food and medicine for
the Iraqi people, pay war damages to Kuwait and compensate countries
affected by the war.
Under such a programme, Iraq exported more than two million bpd but
supplies have declined to around 1.5 million bpd due to political and
technical reasons.
Chalabi said those losses do not include damage caused to Iraq's oil
industry because of lack of maintenance and development due to the absence
of spare parts.
"Iraq needs at least $5 billion to rehabilitate its oil sector and
restore it to its state before the war," Chalabi said.
"As for development of oil fields, Iraq needs tens of billions of
dollars to develop its fields and increase production capacity, which
could reach eight million bpd."
He said the estimated losses covered only oil as economic damage also
involved hundreds of billions of dollars. He mentioned direct and indirect
damage, including inflation, unemployment, deterioration in the gross
domestic product and in the currency, loss of investment, and a sharp
decline in non-oil exports.
Iraq, a founding member of the 11-nation Opec, controls around 112 billion
barrels in recoverable crude reserves, second only to Saudi Arabia's 261
billion barrels.
It also possesses a vast gas wealth, estimated at around 3.1 trillion
cubic metres.
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